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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | +$9 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 322d | leqso0410 | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$10 +1.0% | 4 |
| 353d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,596 | +$70 +4.4% | 4 | |
| 356d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,783 | +$217 +5.8% | 4 | |
| 371d | udellwho | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,630 | −$118 −7.2% | — |
| 384d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,096 | −$301 −7.4% | — | |
| 388d | FragMalDenRalle | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,308 | +$174 +7.5% | 4 |
| 395d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,348 | +$628 +9.9% | 4 | |
| 499d | udellwho | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,608 | +$140 +8.7% | 4 |
| 529d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $8,585 | +$859 +10% | 4 | |
| 535d | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,311 | +$179 +14% | 4 | |
| 539d | RRSerch | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,070 | −$2,070 −100% | 9 |
| 541d | denizz2 fills | US forces in Yemen in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,327 | +$498 +15% | 4 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Yemen at any point between March 17, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Yemen to qualify. Entering Yemen's maritime or aerial territory will not count. High ranking US service members entering Yemen for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.