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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 25 | 0% | +2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 23 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 22 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 26 | 0% | +3 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 24 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 27 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 31 | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 28 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 30 | 0% | −3 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| December 29 | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 296d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | December 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,245 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 297d |  bamesjond | December 30 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,102 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 299d | bamesjond | December 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,522 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | yougotme | December 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,145 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 300d | bamesjond2 fills | December 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,892 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | Michael5289 | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | brgdrgs | December 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,236 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 301d | hughfytf | December 26 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 301d | dfhrdghr | December 26 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,208 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 301d | Thin-Print | December 28 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$104 +7.2% | 4 |
| 301d | Thin-Print | December 27 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$81 +7.6% | 4 |
| 301d | Thin-Print | December 26 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$38 +3.0% | 4 |
| 302d | LBZone | December 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $25,131 | +$33 +0.1% | 4 |
| 302d | fhdhtdfgdhr | December 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,211 | +$3 +0.3% | 4 |
| 302d | bamesjond | December 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 302d | Thin-Print3 fills | December 25 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,391 | +$211 +3.9% | 4 |
| 302d | dfhergdxg | December 25 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$16 +1.3% | 4 |
| 303d |  JoeTrum | December 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,776 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 303d | ytutdjy2 fills | December 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,286 | +$9 +0.2% | 4 |
| 303d | uftras | December 24 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,216 | +$6 +0.5% | 4 |
| 303d | Thin-Print2 fills | December 24 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,563 | +$87 +3.4% | 4 |
| 303d | Thin-Print | December 23 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 303d | LuckyWin | December 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,015 | +$34 +0.2% | 4 |
| 304d | Thin-Print | December 23 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,192 | +$38 +3.2% | 4 |
| 305d |  PredictionYogi | December 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
MagicEightBall16,554 shares
v0vacage3 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize a ship that is transporting, or is intended to transport, oil to or from Venezuela on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Ship seizures that are carried out over multiple days will only qualify for the date that US forces first seize the ship. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for December 25 means the market gives it about 0%.