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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +14 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 388d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 388d | lijialijia20202 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $7,469 | −$374 −5.0% | — |
| 388d | laniakea-supercluster | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 388d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,366 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 388d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,055 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 389d | 0x933a9cf7d526f7f24ea7f3d092ffda0d9bfc64f33 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $14,369 | +$1,095 +7.6% | 5 |
| 389d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,171 | −$120 −10% | — | |
| 389d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $2,849 | +$712 +25% | 7 | |
| 389d | spark1 | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$201 +15% | 6 |
| 389d | lijialijia20202 fills | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $5,849 | +$831 +14% | 6 |
| 390d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,776 | +$691 +39% | 9 | |
| 390d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $1,260 | +$540 +43% | 9 | |
| 391d | torrest | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | −$746 −41% | — |
| 391d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $4,144 | −$1,063 −26% | — | |
| 391d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | SellYes79¢ → 100¢ | $10,257 | −$2,715 −26% | — | |
| 391d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $5,175 | +$1,357 +26% | 4 | |
| 392d | anciano | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $1,545 | +$317 +20% | 5 |
| 393d | laniakea-supercluster | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes79¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | +$273 +27% | 5 |
| 395d | torrest | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$339 +20% | 4 |
| 401d | Dead-Skylightt | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | −$1,017 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1? | BuyNo44¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a U.S government funding lapse occurs on October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A funding lapse is defined as the President failing to sign the relevant bill(s) extending government funding by September 30, 11:59 PM ET. If a bill extending the funding of the U.S. government is passed and signed by the acting President before October 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" any funding lapse will count. If only a portion of the US government is covered by any signed bill(s) extending funding of the US government, and a portion of the US government goes unfunded, this market will still resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution for this source will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.