Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 16 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 17 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 19 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d | worldclassdegen | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,840 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 126d |  Nik- | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,391 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | Overlord36912 | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,048 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | Joint-Response | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,246 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  garlictrump | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,214 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $183,990 | −$779 −0.4% | — |
| 127d | Queasy-Vendor | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,042,519 | −$1,044 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | spamabunch | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,482 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | 0x93a9…0b88 | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,829 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | Queasy-Vendor | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $85,608 | +$86 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | dex53 | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,250 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $105,102 | +$105 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | wubddh | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d |  yen4u | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $12,163 | −$24 −0.2% | — |
| 127d | Dafu0715 | June 16 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$20 −0.2% | — |
| 127d | Dafu0715 | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,982 | +$18 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | RingoJuJu | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,142 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | MegaLucario | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,794 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | CatarinaDevon | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,502 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | tianjiyuyunzhilu2 fills | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,240 | +$43 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | yen4u3 fills | June 16 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,343 | +$81 +0.6% | 20 |
| 128d |  Wunkles | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,677 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  Warren-Buffett3 fills | June 16 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,342 | +$387 +2.9% | 21 |
| 128d |  JJo | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $42,243 | +$85 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Strident-Export | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,611 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  Car3 fills | June 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $57,885 | +$162 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | germantony123 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,172 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | vad13 fills | June 17 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $13,808 | −$3,056 −22% | — |
| 128d |  HowToBasic | June 16 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$17 +0.4% | 20 |
| 128d | RockSolidBond | June 16 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,661 | +$33 +0.6% | 20 |
| 128d | Cal800 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,835 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | mk83 | June 16 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,085 | −$9 −0.9% | — |
| 128d | cccyun2 fills | June 16 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,505 | −$237 −2.5% | — |
| 128d | Wagmi420 | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,260 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 128d | 0xc4ca…3df3 | June 16 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$10 +0.9% | 20 |
| 128d |  scottilicious | June 16 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,240 | −$139 −1.9% | — |
| 128d |  zb8 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,994 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $31,006 | +$117 +0.4% | 20 |
| 128d |  iForgor | June 17 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 128d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | June 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,824 | +$62 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Strident-Export | June 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,160 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Car5 fills | June 16 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $16,027 | +$1,364 +8.5% | 21 |
| 128d | 111pepe | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,091 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 128d | 111pepe | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,081 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Warren-Buffett | June 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,380 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | Watchful-Fund | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,037 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | loser124 | June 17 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,006 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 128d | idkwhatimdoinggg | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,066 | +$34 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | Oriolrq | June 16 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | −$144 −4.3% | — |
| 128d |  ZhangMuZhi.. | June 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,228 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy3 fills | June 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $73,427 | +$74 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d |  OraculumNobius | June 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,498 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Sarcastic-Minimalism | June 19 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,672 | +$15 +0.4% | 20 |
| 128d | Sarcastic-Minimalism2 fills | June 17 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $14,881 | +$212 +1.4% | 20 |
| 128d | anon.1980.123 | June 17 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,936 | −$74 −0.9% | — |
| 128d | ScaryDream | June 17 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$13 +0.4% | 20 |
| 128d | neuiwsance | June 17 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,386 | +$85 +1.9% | 21 |
| 128d | Evwo-Jaza | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $11,123 | +$78 +0.7% | 20 |
| 128d |  aenews2 | June 17 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $27,397 | −$684 −2.5% | — |
| 128d | Watchful-Fund | June 16 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,389 | +$31 +2.3% | 21 |
WSmovin150,000 shares
tetrose19,358 sharesOn June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 is made widely available to the public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The “text of the agreement” refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement, whether released through images of the physical or electronic agreement text, or through alternative verbatim disclosures of the text (e.g., publication of the text of the agreement in a news article). Public disclosures of the deal’s contents, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. Public disclosures of text from draft proposals prior to the version of the agreement announced on June 14, 2026, will not qualify. A qualifying portion of the text of this agreement may be made widely available to the public by any means, regardless of whether it is released officially, leaked, or otherwise disclosed. However, such released text must be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to be genuine text of the agreement. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the United States and Iran. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources will be official information from the United States and Iran and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for June 16 means the market gives it about 0%.