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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 419d | leitingjie2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,296 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 419d | wojtekspekulant | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,094 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 425d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,421 | +$27 +0.8% | 20 |
| 430d | Niseko | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,931 | −$69 −2.4% | — |
| 430d | nhpx38txna0500 | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | +$38 +2.1% | 20 |
| 430d |  Opium4 | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,811 | +$189 +2.1% | 20 |
| 440d |  Zykoer | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,263 | +$70 +2.1% | 20 |
| 448d |  scottilicious4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,039 | +$635 +4.9% | 20 |
| 449d | 854A7843 | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,185 | −$351 −4.9% | — |
| 450d |  Car2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,184 | +$174 +4.2% | 20 |
| 463d | Niseko | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$320 +8.7% | 20 |
| 464d | 854A7843 | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,775 | +$175 +9.9% | 20 |
| 471d |  Roflan-ludoman | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 20 |
| 473d |  siick | US-Iran nuclear deal before September? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,892 | +$388 +20% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran between July 3, and August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.