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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144d | Querulous-Hurt | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,631 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Pessimistic-Microwave | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,717 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | ZhouSir1 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $4,296 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Trader177 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,501 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | gb2288 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,504 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | AlanYagami-T2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,306 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  lexluthror | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,844 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  HaniNry | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,201 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  Mahakaal | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,169 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Core1.5 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | 0x968b…099b | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,414 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | SmolBonder | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,129 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Royal-Dogwood | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,255 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  Evangell | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,270 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Ezbold | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 145d | Reliable-Integrity | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $13,491 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  SquigglyTrousers | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,934 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 145d |  elmcap2 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $65,100 | +$65 +0.1% | 20 |
| 145d | LFC8 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,988 | +$12 +0.1% | 20 |
| 145d | FlyingPlaty2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,979 | +$21 +0.1% | 20 |
| 145d | defimonger | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $19,627 | −$39 −0.2% | — |
| 145d | lknxt95 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,446 | +$45 +0.7% | 20 |
| 145d |  Wunkles | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$21 +0.7% | 20 |
| 145d | jimbobianthethird2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $27,264 | −$255 −0.9% | — |
| 145d | adasol | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,527 | +$14 +0.9% | 20 |
| 145d | Regular-Shipping | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,138 | −$30 −0.9% | — |
| 145d | V1nch0u | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | −$11 −0.8% | — |
| 145d | Wagmi420 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | +$20 +0.9% | 20 |
| 145d | testlp | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,866 | +$40 +1.0% | 20 |
| 145d | dontworryabouteet | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,676 | −$59 −1.6% | — |
| 145d | messixyz | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,623 | +$74 +1.3% | 20 |
| 145d | ye.eth | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,793 | −$55 −2.0% | — |
| 145d |  bullishkirby | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,386 | +$58 +1.3% | 20 |
| 145d | 0x8fe4…8970 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | −$42 −2.0% | — |
| 145d | AdrianCronauer5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $48,504 | −$6,007 −12% | — |
| 145d | AdrianCronauer5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $34,937 | +$4,812 +14% | 20 |
| 145d |  Obtio4 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,008 | +$563 +3.5% | 21 |
| 145d | Obtio3 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,465 | −$388 −3.4% | — |
| 145d | lukny14102 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $24,740 | +$460 +1.9% | 20 |
| 146d | Thrifty-Handicap | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$27 −2.5% | — |
| 146d | Mahakaal | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$51 +2.7% | 20 |
| 146d | lockedint | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | −$55 −3.0% | — |
| 146d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA960419 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $32,386 | +$5,976 +18% | 21 |
| 146d | puntkunt | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $50,223 | −$1,874 −3.7% | — |
| 146d |  Sad-Meantime | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$26 −2.6% | — |
| 146d | Ru386 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | −$61 −2.4% | — |
| 146d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96049 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $13,306 | −$2,201 −17% | — |
| 146d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,813 | +$170 +2.2% | 21 |
| 146d | rwcoffee | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$37 −3.7% | — |
| 146d | EddyAncogld5 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $29,800 | +$1,093 +3.7% | 21 |
| 146d | Reliable-Integrity2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$480 +4.0% | 21 |
| 146d |  ZalphaAI | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | −$59 −5.0% | — |
| 146d | anon.1980.123 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,921 | +$479 +4.0% | 21 |
| 146d |  Rk780 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $22,882 | −$1,366 −6.0% | — |
| 146d | Pessimistic-Microwave | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$75 +4.6% | 21 |
| 146d | mm4ker | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$60 +4.7% | 21 |
| 146d | 0x968b…099b | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$65 +4.8% | 21 |
| 147d | 0x4eb1…45472 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,053 | −$214 −7.0% | — |
| 147d | tianjiyuyunzhilu | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$59 +5.8% | 21 |
| 147d | ye.eth2 fills | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,611 | +$237 +9.1% | 21 |
eightpenguins56,210 shares
grimdada38,141 shares
Xxshadowb8,877 shares
tetrose7,194 shares
PollyOrca100 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.