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Polymarket wallet 0x2c263b063b467086af2469ed0404cab55ab9a23c · on Polymarket since May 23, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,795 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,697 | +$171 +11% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,684 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $608 | −$92 −13% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,371 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 61,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$61 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,021 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,146 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$644 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 872 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$523 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.