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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722d |  carp | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,838 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 722d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,495 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 722d |  50Whence3 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,659 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 722d | Qtyu3 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,061 | +$356 +5.9% | 20 |
| 722d |  Car5 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,219 | +$197 +2.1% | 20 |
| 722d |  ImJustKen2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $9,925 | +$1,043 +11% | 20 |
| 723d |  taut-dogwood | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$4 +0.4% | 20 |
| 724d |  MisTKy38 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $14,645 | +$1,019 +7.0% | 20 |
| 724d | Test34 | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,521 | +$6 +0.4% | 20 |
| 725d |  JohnWhyNot | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | −$27 −2.1% | — |
| 726d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly3 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,647 | −$599 −11% | — |
| 726d |  just.some.guy2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | −$67 −2.6% | — |
| 727d | Car2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $12,079 | −$370 −3.1% | — |
| 728d |  Gemini456 | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,158 | −$22 −1.9% | — |
| 728d |  ANudeEgg2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,308 | +$184 +2.9% | 20 |
| 729d | denizz | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,294 | −$35 −2.7% | — |
| 730d | Gemini456 | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$29 +2.8% | 20 |
| 731d |  studmuffin69696 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $9,175 | −$389 −4.2% | — |
| 734d | kingfisher | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,883 | −$117 −4.0% | — |
| 735d | nattrade | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,182 | +$600 +4.0% | 20 |
| 735d | oogla | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,037 | −$51 −5.0% | — |
| 735d | 0x31e7018c67d7d323de8defd89b8d880427ef4ec | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyYes4¢ → 0¢ | $1,246 | −$1,246 −100% | 22 |
| 735d | stamjer3 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $12,795 | −$12,795 −100% | 32 |
| 737d | AXX | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | +$1,016 +100% | — |
| 737d |  RewardsPeasant | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | −$146 −9.4% | — |
| 738d |  DegenerateJanet | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | +$84 +7.8% | 20 |
| 738d | just.some.guy4 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $21,566 | +$3,184 +15% | 20 |
| 741d |  TimeQuestion2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,502 | +$398 +7.2% | 20 |
| 742d | Gdub2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,705 | +$442 +6.6% | 20 |
| 742d | OmenOfLord | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,032 | −$1,032 −100% | 20 |
| 743d |  LucyCross5 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,654 | +$464 +7.0% | 20 |
| 744d | Qtyu | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $6,627 | −$553 −8.3% | — |
| 744d | testertest552 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,978 | +$299 +7.5% | 20 |
| 744d | kageyuki | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | +$105 +7.5% | 20 |
| 745d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | +$106 +7.6% | 20 |
| 745d | BitcoinerRetired | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,303 | +$1,303 +100% | — |
| 745d | studmuffin6969 | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$114 +7.7% | 20 |
| 746d | ArtKlaus | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,789 | +$166 +9.3% | 20 |
| 746d | denizz | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | +$139 +12% | 20 |
| 747d | testertest55 | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,189 | −$135 −11% | — |
| 747d |  CavaSoTasty | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,428 | −$389 −11% | — |
| 747d | kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,395 | −$160 −11% | — |
| 748d | Alder | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,106 | +$894 +13% | 20 |
| 748d | BitcoinerRetired | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyYes9¢ → 0¢ | $1,684 | −$1,684 −100% | 24 |
| 750d | CavaSoTasty | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,504 | +$313 +8.9% | 20 |
| 750d | Bink_7 | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,688 | −$629 −9.4% | — |
| 752d | truce | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | SellYes17¢ → 0¢ | $7,315 | +$7,315 +100% | — |
| 752d | truce2 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyYes17¢ → 0¢ | $4,414 | −$4,414 −100% | 29 |
| 752d | Bink_72 fills | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $28,212 | +$5,855 +21% | 20 |
| 754d |  SirHarryOakes | U.S. military action against Iran before November? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$42 +4.2% | 20 |
Sigurd466 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory between September 22 and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the U.S. on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by an U.S. missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. In the case that the "Yes" resolution criteria are met prior to this market's resolution date, this market will resolve immediately.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.