Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1084d | RD29 | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,485 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 1085d | mysticzed | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,960 | −$40 −2.0% | — |
| 1086d | madkkee3 fills | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $7,583 | −$1,553 −20% | — |
| 1087d | PM-trader | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $12,000 | +$803 +6.7% | 20 |
| 1087d | okcoolstorybro | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | −$197 −14% | — |
| 1088d |  aenews-915 | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,223 | +$219 +6.8% | 20 |
| 1088d | ponzinomic | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$111 −11% | — |
| 1088d |  kickstandhater | US military intervention by Oct 31? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$73 −6.2% | — |
| 1088d | madkkee | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,292 | +$243 +5.7% | 20 |
| 1088d | weth | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$95 +6.3% | 20 |
| 1090d | ponzinomic | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,330 | +$131 +3.9% | 21 |
| 1092d |  ANudeEgg | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$80 +7.7% | 20 |
| 1095d | dooDoo69 | US military intervention by Oct 31? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,094 | +$291 +9.4% | 21 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by October 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET the United States engages in a kinetic strike relating to the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. This market will also resolve to “Yes” if the US deploys any new troops on the ground with the explicit purpose of combat operations in the 2023 Israel-Hamas conflict. Official announcements can include, but are not limited to, statements or press releases issued by the U.S. Department of Defense, the White House, or public speeches by the U.S. President or Secretary of Defense. The market will resolve to "No" if no such intervention occurs by October 31, 2023.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.