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Polymarket wallet 0x4ecaf518777e21e59e46142471b4aef1d7be9a13 · on Polymarket since Aug 24, 2023 · also shown as Assured-Vermicelli
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 417 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US military intervention by Oct 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 597 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,167 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,444 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
| Will weed be rescheduled in 2023?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 833 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 452d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $49 |
| 452d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $110 |
| 1073d | Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? | SellNo99¢ | $286 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.