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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d |  DEGENKHAN | US stagflation in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,164 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 327d |  VinnyViral | US stagflation in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | −$86 −3.5% | — |
| 350d | Misterxqt | US stagflation in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | −$29 −2.2% | — |
| 350d | Misterxqt | US stagflation in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,532 | +$84 +5.5% | 4 |
| 426d |  WordleAddict | US stagflation in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$90 +6.4% | 4 |
| 516d | commeowder | US stagflation in 2025? | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$298 −28% | — |
| 517d | CompulsiveGambler | US stagflation in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$282 +25% | 4 |
| 519d |  babyshark. | US stagflation in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,520 | +$380 +25% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both of the following conditions prove true at any point in 2025: 1) The "US recession in 2025?" market resolves to "Yes" (https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-in-2025). 2) The Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by 5.0% or more over the 12 month period ending in any month between April 2025 and December 2025 according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current) Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will not resolve until all relevant figures are reported for the period of time encompassing December 2025. The resolution sources for this market will be the NBER, BEA (https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product), and BLS (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm#current), as well as the "US recession in 2025?" market on Polymarket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.