| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 9,237 | 74¢ → 92¢ | $8,498 | +$1,621 +24% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 9,140 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $8,272 | +$952 +13% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 8,565 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $5,910 | +$157 +2.7% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 5,588 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $5,281 | +$381 +7.8% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 5,752 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $4,602 | −$189 −3.9% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4,738 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $4,241 | +$970 +30% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 10d | No | 3,800 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $3,515 | +$380 +12% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 3,000 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $2,745 | −$15 −0.5% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 2,800 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $2,422 | +$59 +2.5% |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 2,696 | 64¢ → 79¢ | $2,117 | +$404 +24% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,915 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $1,880 | +$48 +2.6% |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 1,854 | 83¢ → 93¢ | $1,715 | +$175 +11% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,467 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $1,276 | +$135 +12% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,585 | 5¢ → 66¢ | $1,051 | +$975 +1282% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 67d | No | 1,070 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $1,011 | +$261 +35% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,000 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $935 | +$8 +0.9% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 957 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $875 | +$69 +8.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 900 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $836 | −$22 −2.6% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 849 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $760 | +$157 +26% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ → 75¢ | $745 | +$165 +28% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 67d | No | 693 | 69¢ → 97¢ | $673 | +$195 +41% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | Yes | 1,428 | 41¢ → 43¢ | $614 | +$35 +6.0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 600 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $593 | +$98 +20% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 600 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $531 | +$39 +7.9% |
| Blue wave in 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 600 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $522 | +$27 +5.5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 594 | 60¢ → 87¢ | $514 | +$156 +44% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 1,107 | 42¢ → 44¢ | $487 | +$19 +4.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 1,100 | 26¢ → 43¢ | $473 | +$187 +65% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 600 | 62¢ → 64¢ | $381 | +$7 +1.9% |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 366 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $356 | +$86 +32% |
| Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?Ends in 700d | Yes | 744 | 42¢ → 44¢ | $328 | +$15 +4.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 300 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $299 | +$62 +26% |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 306 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $287 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 300 | 70¢ → 95¢ | $283 | +$73 +35% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 300 | 75¢ → 88¢ | $264 | +$38 +17% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?Ends in 99d | No | 264 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $259 | +$21 +8.8% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 270 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $244 | +$56 +30% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 368 | 53¢ → 63¢ | $230 | +$35 +18% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 297 | 61¢ → 75¢ | $221 | +$41 +23% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 234 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $216 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d | Yes | 300 | 57¢ → 66¢ | $197 | +$26 +15% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$6 +3.1% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 96¢ | $191 | +$52 +37% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 204 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $184 | +$14 +8.5% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 1,028 | 18¢ → 18¢ | $180 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 90¢ | $179 | +$33 +23% |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 69¢ → 90¢ | $179 | +$41 +30% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 200 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $171 | +$29 +20% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 745d | Yes | 3,400 | 7¢ → 5¢ | $170 | −$82 −33% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 183 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $168 | +$9 +5.7% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 67d | Yes | 200 | 39¢ → 82¢ | $163 | +$85 +109% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 165 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $156 | +$7 +4.8% |
| Will Republicans win 14–15% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 161 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $152 | +$12 +8.2% |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 148 | 73¢ → >99¢ | $147 | +$40 +37% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 72¢ | $144 | +$12 +9.1% |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $140 | +$13 +10% |
| Will Republicans win 18% or more of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 141 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $133 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 136 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $129 | +$4 +3.1% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 300 | 82¢ → 40¢ | $119 | −$127 −52% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 112 | 66¢ → 92¢ | $103 | +$28 +38% |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$9 +10% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more?Ends in 188d | No | 100 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 114 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $95 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 100 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $94 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $92 | −$2 −2.6% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 99d | Yes | 1,435 | 10¢ → 6¢ | $88 | −$61 −41% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?Ends in 188d | No | 97 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $84 | +$7 +8.8% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | No | 142 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $81 | −$3 −3.6% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | No | 100 | 81¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$6 −6.8% |
| Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?Ends in 13d | Yes | 103 | 63¢ → 69¢ | $71 | +$6 +9.2% |
| Will Republicans win 12–13% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 59 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $55 | +$4 +8.3% |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | Yes | 140 | 32¢ → 39¢ | $54 | +$9 +21% |
| Will Republicans win 16–17% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 39 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $37 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 39 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $36 | +$2 +4.5% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 277 | 33¢ → 12¢ | $32 | −$61 −66% |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 27¢ → 31¢ | $31 | +$4 +13% |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 67d | No | 100 | 94¢ → 27¢ | $27 | −$67 −72% |
| Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 36 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $25 | +$1 +4.5% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?Ends in 188d | No | 24 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $23 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 13d | No | 345 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $17 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 18 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $17 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 67d | Yes | 726 | 88¢ → 2¢ | $14 | −$624 −98% |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 18 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $13 | +$2 +15% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by June 30, 2027?Ends in 249d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 56¢ | $11 | +$2 +17% |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | No | 18 | 60¢ → 62¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.5% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B?Ends in 188d | Yes | 53 | 8¢ → 21¢ | $11 | +$7 +163% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 11 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 12 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B?Ends in 188d | Yes | 92 | 5¢ → 10¢ | $9 | +$5 +103% |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 18¢ → 9¢ | $8 | −$9 −51% |
| Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?Ends in 10d | Yes | 18 | 36¢ → 42¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?Ends in 13d | Yes | 23 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $7 | +$0 +7.1% |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027?Ends in 158d | Yes | 30 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $5 | −$1 −18% |
| Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms?Ends in 13d | Yes | 83 | 4¢ → 6¢ | $5 | +$1 +37% |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 10d | Yes | 11 | 16¢ → 41¢ | $4 | +$3 +153% |
| Will Republicans win 12–13% of the Black vote?Ends in 13d | Yes | 50 | 5¢ → 7¢ | $4 | +$1 +40% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4 | 73¢ → 97¢ | $3 | +$1 +33% |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B?Ends in 188d | Yes | 96 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $3 | −$0 −13% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 22¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$19 −88% |
