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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monday, June 23 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tuesday, June 24 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday, June 22 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sunday, June 29 | 0% | 0 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saturday, June 28 | 0% | −1 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Monday, June 30 | 0% | 0 pts | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Friday, June 27 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wednesday, June 25 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Thursday, June 26 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 480d |  Slowroasted | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,409 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 480d |  Connext | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,775 | +$9 +0.5% | 20 |
| 481d |  Opium4 | Sunday, June 29 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,228 | +$5 +0.4% | 20 |
| 481d |  UwO | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,384 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 481d | Slowroasted2 fills | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,948 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 481d |  imtiredb0ss | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,910 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,404 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 482d | Slowroasted | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,299 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 483d | bigwing | Thursday, June 26 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,597 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 484d |  elmcap22 fills | Wednesday, June 25 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,160 | +$22 +0.4% | 20 |
| 484d | elmcap22 fills | Saturday, June 28 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,205 | +$58 +1.8% | 20 |
| 484d | elmcap22 fills | Friday, June 27 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,679 | +$45 +1.7% | 20 |
| 485d | elmcap2 | Tuesday, June 24 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,775 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 485d | applesandbananas | Tuesday, June 24 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,864 | +$15 +0.5% | 20 |
| 486d | esac | Monday, June 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,952 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 486d | UwO | Monday, June 23 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,165 | +$8 +0.3% | 20 |
| 486d | SaylorMoon | Monday, June 30 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | +$37 +2.4% | 20 |
| 486d | FC925 | Monday, June 23 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | −$54 −3.2% | — |
| 486d |  Sivert | Monday, June 23 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,428 | +$40 +2.8% | 21 |
| 487d | esac | Sunday, June 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,169 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 487d |  SappySeal67 | Sunday, June 22 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 487d |  Suzuha | Sunday, June 22 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,181 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
This is a market on the likelihood and timing of an US military strike on Iran.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Monday, June 23 means the market gives it about 0%.