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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45-53m | 100% | +5 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$45m | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $53-61m | 0% | −4 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $61-70m | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >$70m | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725d | parkerpete | $45-53m | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 725d |  ImJustKen | $53-61m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,044 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 725d | aviato2 fills | >$70m | SellNo>99¢ | $3,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 725d |  Dropper | $53-61m | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,357 | +$16 +0.3% | 4 |
| 725d |  Cajetan2 fills | $53-61m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,230 | +$20 +0.6% | 4 |
| 725d | Dropper | $45-53m | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,946 | +$29 +0.4% | 4 |
| 725d |  AgricultureSecretary | $45-53m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 726d | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe32 fills | <$45m | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,504 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 726d |  LBZcapital | $45-53m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$22 +2.0% | 5 |
| 726d | Sombie | $45-53m | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $11,080 | −$2,710 −24% | — |
| 726d | aviato | $61-70m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,994 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 726d |  enderone4 fills | $45-53m | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,558 | +$162 +2.5% | 5 |
| 726d | MomentFi | $61-70m | SellNo>99¢ | $1,996 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 726d | MomentFi | $61-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 726d | oof2 fills | $53-61m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,196 | +$97 +1.1% | 4 |
| 726d | cigarettes5 fills | $53-61m | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,263 | +$86 +1.6% | 4 |
| 726d | cigarettes5 fills | <$45m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,299 | +$49 +0.9% | 4 |
| 726d | oof2 fills | $45-53m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,902 | +$73 +1.5% | 4 |
| 726d | cigarettes4 fills | $61-70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,276 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 726d | cigarettes3 fills | >$70m | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,207 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 726d | Sombie3 fills | $45-53m | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,615 | +$175 +1.3% | 4 |
| 726d | 😏😏😏2 fills | $45-53m | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,872 | +$134 +2.8% | 5 |
| 727d | jinsun...2 fills | >$70m | SellNo>99¢ | $6,975 | −$25 −0.4% | — |
| 727d |  carp | >$70m | SellNo>99¢ | $9,245 | −$35 −0.4% | — |
| 727d |  WordleAddict | $45-53m | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,669 | +$215 +13% | 6 |
| 727d | WordleAddict | $53-61m | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,194 | +$106 +8.9% | 5 |
| 727d |  stormshadow | <$45m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | −$46 −2.4% | — |
| 727d | luckloong | $45-53m | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$596 −56% | — |
| 727d | luckloong | $45-53m | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$461 +35% | 8 |
| 727d |  NadyaSuleman | $45-53m | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$416 +30% | 8 |
| 728d |  crystalfalls | $61-70m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$43 +3.3% | 5 |
| 728d | stormshadow | <$45m | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$105 +7.4% | 5 |
| 728d | WordleAddict2 fills | >$70m | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $2,530 | +$734 +29% | 5 |
| 728d |  aebonds2 fills | >$70m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,575 | +$155 +1.2% | 4 |
| 728d | enderone | $61-70m | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$320 +8.7% | 5 |
| 728d |  Anjun2 fills | >$70m | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,770 | +$147 +1.3% | 4 |
| 728d |  ANudeEgg | >$70m | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$47 +3.1% | 5 |
| 728d |  aenews2 | <$45m | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,861 | +$242 +13% | 6 |
| 728d |  New.Jeans | >$70m | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,357 | +$115 +8.5% | 5 |
| 728d | Anjun | >$70m | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,951 | −$772 −11% | — |
| 729d | aenews2 | $61-70m | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,706 | +$700 +19% | 5 |
| 729d | jinsun... | >$70m | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$225 +21% | 5 |
| 729d | jl3128776 | <$45m | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$20 −1.7% | — |
| 729d |  Predicto1232 fills | >$70m | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $2,129 | −$2,129 −100% | 10 |
| 730d | h0385960273552 fills | <$45m | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,454 | +$603 +17% | 5 |
| 730d | aenews2 | >$70m | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$156 +12% | 5 |
| 731d |  DaisyFarm2 fills | >$70m | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 11 |
| 731d |  Office Lover | >$70m | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,039 | +$261 +25% | 5 |
| 732d | BrainrotStonks | >$70m | BuyYes36¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 8 |
This is a negrisk market group over the opening weekend box office figures for 'Venom: The Last Dance'.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for $45-53m means the market gives it about 100%.