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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | 100% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Republican | 0% | −20 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716d | TimBalz | Republican | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,707 | +$71 +4.2% | 10 |
| 716d | Democrat | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | +$37 +3.1% | 10 | |
| 717d | Democrat | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,512 | +$160 +6.4% | 10 | |
| 717d | cigarettes | Other | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,915 | +$2 +0.1% | 10 |
| 721d | Democrat | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $4,499 | +$239 +5.3% | 10 | |
| 738d | route | Other | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | −$7 −0.6% | — |
| 739d | Republican | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,495 | −$263 −7.5% | — | |
| 781d | Democrat | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | −$160 −6.4% | — | |
| 781d | Republican | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,388 | −$152 −6.4% | — | |
| 784d | Republican | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | −$90 −5.3% | — | |
| 788d | AntiMAGA | Democrat | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,273 | +$344 +5.5% | 10 |
| 797d | 0xfe91…70ff | Democrat | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,313 | +$174 +7.5% | 10 |
| 804d | Democrat | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$492 +9.9% | 10 | |
| 805d | Democrat | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,127 | +$111 +9.9% | 10 |
This is a market on the winner of the Virginia Senate election.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Democrat means the market gives it about 100%.