Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green New Scam | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pocahontas | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Whack Job / Whackjob | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Con Job | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crying Chuck / Cryin Chuck | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Marjorie Traitor Greene | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crazy Bernie | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Slopadopolous | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Low Energy | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Fat Slob | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rocket Man | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Little Communist | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Comrade Kamala | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Biden Crime Family | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Piggy | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tampon Tim | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Hussein Obama | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sleepy Joe | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Newscum | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sleazebag | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crooked Hillary | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 241d | Piggy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,729 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 241d | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,165 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 241d | Green New Scam | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,759 | +$29 +1.7% | 20 | |
| 244d | Comrade Kamala | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$48 +4.8% | 21 |
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed nickname during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Green New Scam means the market gives it about 100%.