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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smithsonian | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mars | 100% | +31 pts | +75 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Gaza | 0% | +2 pts | −34 pts | — · 26¢ | — | ended |
| Los Angeles | 100% | +5 pts | +37 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | 100% | +51 pts | +42 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Washington D.C. | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Mall | 0% | −23 pts | −37 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tehran | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | — · 35¢ | — | ended |
| Middle East | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Greenland | 0% | −12 pts | −49 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Moscow | 0% | +3 pts | −6 pts | — · 21¢ | — | ended |
| Lincoln Memorial | 0% | +6 pts | +17 pts | <1¢ · 89¢ (89¢) | — | ended |
| Gulf of America / Gulf of Mexico | 100% | +84 pts | +57 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jerusalem | 0% | −4 pts | −27 pts | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| Mexico | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Penn Station | 0% | −43 pts | −46 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Abbey Gate | 0% | +4 pts | −5 pts | — · 89¢ | — | ended |
| Harvard | 0% | — | −6 pts | — · 58¢ | — | ended |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
bjprolo5 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Smithsonian means the market gives it about 0%.