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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $304 | 100% | +14 pts | +34 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $288 | 100% | +12 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $312 | 100% | +21 pts | +79 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $296 | 100% | +10 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $320 | 0% | −5 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $264 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $288 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $280 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $232 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $248 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $256 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $240 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $224 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $328 | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $272 | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $216 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $272 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $280 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $320 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,428 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 153d | Luka788 | ↑ $312 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $2,899 | +$1,997 +69% | 4 |
| 162d | superstonksbro2 fills | ↑ $304 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $2,414 | +$1,158 +48% | 4 |
| 162d |  sirrothko | ↑ $304 | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $1,145 | −$564 −49% | — |
| 164d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $296 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,198 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d | superstonksbro2 fills | ↑ $304 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,725 | −$2,725 −100% | 4 |
| 169d |  thanksforplayin | ↑ $296 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$803 +70% | 4 |
| 170d | CoinTrick | ↑ $288 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 172d | superstonksbro | ↑ $288 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,434 | −$1,434 −100% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ $304 means the market gives it about 100%.