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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $128 | 0% | −6 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $124 | 0% | — | −12 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $140 | 0% | −8 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $120 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $152 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $144 | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $116 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $148 | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $156 | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $160 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $132 | 100% | +17 pts | +66 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $164 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $168 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $140 | 100% | +7 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $136 | 100% | +31 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $144 | 100% | +17 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $152 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,015 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $120 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,716 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $144 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,567 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 147d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $156 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,385 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d |  thanksforplayin | ↑ $148 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | −$309 −26% | — |
| 166d | superstonksbro | ↑ $148 | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,178 | −$1,178 −100% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $128 means the market gives it about 0%.