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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $280 | 0% | −15 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $288 | 0% | −2 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $256 | 100% | +55 pts | +47 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $248 | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $240 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $320 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $312 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $304 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $216 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $296 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $224 | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $232 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $272 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $264 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d | Stonktrader | ↑ $280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,854 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $280 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,851 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 147d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $288 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,306 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d |  HorribleWork | ↑ $304 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,823 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 148d | cryptoincome | ↓ $224 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,067 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 155d | HorribleWork | ↑ $320 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,821 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 156d | CamelUp | ↓ $240 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$180 +18% | 4 |
| 157d |  CoinTrick | ↓ $256 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,558 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | CamelUp | ↑ $312 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,023 | +$109 +11% | 4 |
| 171d | CamelUp | ↑ $288 | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $3,360 | −$3,360 −100% | 4 |
| 172d | CamelUp | ↑ $288 | BuyNo45¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | +$1,650 +122% | 4 |
| 175d |  TheUltimateNash69 | ↑ $272 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$11 +1.1% | 4 |
HorribleWork468 shares
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $280 means the market gives it about 0%.