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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 116k | 100% | +75 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 114k | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 127k | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 126k | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 125k | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 130k | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| ↓ 112k | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 118k | 100% | −9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 123k | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 117k | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| ↓ 120k | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 432d | elPolloLoco2 fills | ↓ 114k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,021 | −$226 −1.2% | — |
| 432d | rwo3 fills | ↓ 114k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,809 | +$48 +0.7% | 2 |
| 432d | iamgone10 fills | ↓ 114k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $39,149 | +$484 +1.2% | 2 |
| 432d |  Nadmi | ↓ 114k | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | −$63 −4.4% | — |
| 432d | Tiwosn | ↓ 116k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,775 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 432d | Ordon | ↓ 116k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 432d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 116k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,085 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 432d | Tiwosn | ↓ 116k | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,723 | +$53 +3.1% | 2 |
| 432d | Ordon | ↓ 116k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$280 +7.5% | 3 |
| 432d | 0xa95bfdb18 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $27,139 | +$31,281 +115% | 5 |
| 432d |  justdance17 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $31,959 | +$37,775 +118% | 5 |
| 432d | justdance10 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $24,107 | −$24,107 −100% | 3 |
| 432d | Hashbrown4 fills | ↓ 114k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,558 | +$229 +1.5% | 2 |
| 432d | Suyoung | ↓ 112k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,012 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 432d | lordedward | ↓ 116k | BuyNo94¢ → 0¢ | $1,563 | −$1,563 −100% | 3 |
| 432d | popravkin777 | ↓ 114k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | −$48 −2.2% | — |
| 432d | iamgone | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,471 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 432d | iamgone | ↓ 112k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 433d | elPolloLoco | ↑ 125k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,773 | −$14 −0.8% | — |
| 433d | affs20791 | ↓ 116k | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $2,573 | −$2,573 −100% | 3 |
| 433d | affs20791 | ↓ 114k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 2 |
| 433d | AZwater | ↑ 125k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 2 |
| 433d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 114k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,224 | +$121 +9.9% | 2 |
| 433d |  HighOctane | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,897 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 433d | hberry | ↓ 112k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$42 +2.1% | 2 |
| 433d |  Casablanca10 | ↓ 112k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,448 | +$585 +5.6% | 2 |
| 434d | Casablanca10 | ↓ 114k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,129 | +$140 +12% | 2 |
| 434d | Hashbrown2 fills | ↑ 127k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,601 | +$48 +0.8% | 2 |
| 434d | MarketCrash3 fills | ↓ 114k | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $3,314 | −$3,314 −100% | 11 |
| 434d | lordedward | ↓ 114k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,143 | +$127 +11% | 2 |
| 434d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 114k | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,258 | +$439 +13% | 2 |
| 434d | Jehun | ↑ 127k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,037 | +$25 +1.2% | 2 |
| 434d | Jehun | ↑ 126k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,961 | +$39 +1.3% | 2 |
| 434d | elPolloLoco3 fills | ↓ 116k | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $6,651 | +$6,651 +100% | — |
| 434d | chuchulong | ↑ 130k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,965 | +$21 +0.7% | 2 |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb9 fills | ↑ 125k | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $28,258 | +$2,410 +8.5% | 2 |
| 434d | iamgone4 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $10,835 | +$10,804 +100% | 3 |
| 434d | AZwater | ↑ 130k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$11 +0.8% | 2 |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb10 fills | ↑ 127k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $39,444 | +$289 +0.7% | 2 |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb7 fills | ↑ 130k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $24,702 | +$964 +3.9% | 2 |
| 434d | justdance3 fills | ↑ 127k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,832 | −$75 −0.6% | — |
| 434d | justdance5 fills | ↑ 126k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,041 | −$172 −1.0% | — |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb13 fills | ↑ 126k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $46,831 | +$474 +1.0% | 2 |
| 434d |  okalright | ↑ 126k | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | −$58 −4.1% | — |
| 434d | Sharky69993 fills | ↑ 126k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,632 | +$315 +3.3% | 2 |
| 434d | Sharky69992 fills | ↑ 127k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,540 | +$171 +2.6% | 2 |
| 434d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd42 fills | ↑ 126k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,871 | +$129 +4.5% | 2 |
| 434d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd42 fills | ↑ 127k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,863 | +$137 +4.8% | 2 |
| 434d | justdance7 fills | ↑ 127k | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $21,847 | +$4,392 +20% | 2 |
| 434d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 126k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $11,519 | +$1,907 +17% | 3 |
| 434d | justdance5 fills | ↑ 130k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $12,713 | +$1,463 +12% | 2 |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb4 fills | ↓ 114k | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $10,672 | +$2,254 +21% | 2 |
| 434d | justdance | ↓ 114k | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,022 | −$1,022 −100% | 3 |
| 434d | 0xa95bfdb5 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $8,717 | −$8,717 −100% | 3 |
| 434d | Mr.Fujin | ↓ 116k | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,763 | +$2,450 +89% | 3 |
| 435d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | ↑ 126k | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,425 | −$75 −5.3% | — |
| 435d | 0xa95bfdb3 fills | ↓ 112k | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,100 | +$900 +11% | 2 |
| 435d | okalright | ↑ 127k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 435d | Tiwosn | ↓ 118k | SellYes>99¢ | $1,723 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 435d | radzih | ↓ 118k | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$79 +5.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit August 11-17?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 116k means the market gives it about 100%.