| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 20,000 | 56¢ → 91¢ | $18,100 | +$6,850 +61% |
| Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 13,467 | 57¢ → 95¢ | $12,801 | +$5,103 +66% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 159d | No | 3,000 | 0¢ → 79¢ | $2,381 | +$2,381 +0.0% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11,936 | 11¢ → 17¢ | $2,029 | +$677 +50% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,810 | 42¢ → 56¢ | $1,588 | +$394 +33% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,500 | 9¢ → 39¢ | $1,349 | +$1,043 +341% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 1,250 | 60¢ → 85¢ | $1,059 | +$309 +41% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 50¢ → 95¢ | $946 | +$446 +89% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 1,750 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $927 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?Ends in 281d | Yes | 9,042 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $723 | −$12 −1.6% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 2,824 | 17¢ → 25¢ | $706 | +$218 +45% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 9,687 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $678 | +$266 +64% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 1,500 | 4¢ → 44¢ | $660 | +$594 +894% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,188 | 2¢ → 9¢ | $636 | +$467 +277% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 3,466 | 3¢ → 13¢ | $451 | +$348 +341% |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 490 | 79¢ → 92¢ | $449 | +$65 +17% |
| Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | No | 749 | 49¢ → 57¢ | $431 | +$64 +17% |
| Will Mely Romero Celis win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?Ends in 226d | No | 459 | 51¢ → 86¢ | $393 | +$159 +68% |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 2,537 | 12¢ → 13¢ | $330 | +$25 +8.3% |
| Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?Ends in 36d | No | 464 | 38¢ → 61¢ | $283 | +$106 +60% |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,729 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $274 | +$140 +104% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,875 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $252 | +$82 +48% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,250 | 9¢ → 18¢ | $225 | +$114 +103% |
| Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,652 | 2¢ → 13¢ | $207 | +$180 +688% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,898 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $203 | +$1 +0.4% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,041 | 7¢ → 17¢ | $172 | +$94 +121% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,783 | 7¢ → 10¢ | $169 | +$49 +41% |
| Greta Thunberg arrested by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 250 | 15¢ → 65¢ | $162 | +$125 +332% |
| Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 341 | 34¢ → 47¢ | $160 | +$46 +40% |
| Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?Ends in 69d | $60 | 500 | 7¢ → 32¢ | $159 | +$124 +354% |
| Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 2,960 | 1¢ → 5¢ | $144 | +$123 +608% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $140 | −$10 −6.7% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 7d | Yes | 2,492 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $137 | +$17 +14% |
| Will August be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $129 | −$61 −32% |
| Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,071 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $129 | +$83 +182% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | OpenAI | 2,566 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $126 | +$9 +8.1% |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11,848 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $124 | −$246 −66% |
| Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Ends in 250d | No | 500 | 7¢ → 25¢ | $123 | +$88 +250% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $117 | +$20 +20% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $117 | +$20 +20% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 3,301 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $114 | −$32 −22% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...?Ends in 69d | Yes | 421 | 3¢ → 27¢ | $112 | +$99 +783% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,997 | 2¢ → 6¢ | $110 | +$69 +166% |
| Will StandX launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 4,720 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $109 | −$6 −5.3% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $101 | +$61 +153% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 250 | 13¢ → 40¢ | $99 | +$66 +204% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by September 30, 2027?Ends in 342d | Yes | 3,000 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $97 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 2d | No | 727 | 6¢ → 12¢ | $87 | +$44 +100% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 974 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $87 | +$57 +197% |
| Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,652 | 3¢ → 5¢ | $85 | +$34 +65% |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,501 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $84 | +$39 +87% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 2,128 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $82 | +$19 +31% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 212 | 31¢ → 39¢ | $81 | +$16 +24% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,526 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $79 | +$5 +7.2% |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 828 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $77 | +$49 +183% |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,175 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $76 | +$45 +147% |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,662 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $75 | −$42 −36% |
| Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 250 | 3¢ → 30¢ | $74 | +$67 +887% |
| Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | No | 500 | 3¢ → 14¢ | $71 | +$56 +370% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,894 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $67 | +$28 +73% |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,031 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $67 | −$59 −47% |
| Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,937 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $63 | −$23 −27% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,630 | 31¢ → 4¢ | $61 | −$448 −88% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,500 | 11¢ → 1¢ | $60 | −$541 −90% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 2,238 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $59 | +$15 +32% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 500 | 5¢ → 12¢ | $58 | +$33 +130% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,480 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $57 | +$7 +15% |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 355 | 3¢ → 16¢ | $57 | +$46 +433% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 1,003 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $56 | +$26 +85% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,441 | 1¢ → 4¢ | $55 | +$40 +280% |
| Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 165 | 13¢ → 33¢ | $54 | +$32 +150% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 848 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $50 | +$22 +79% |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 659 | 5¢ → 8¢ | $49 | +$18 +58% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 3,401 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $49 | +$31 +173% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine?Ends in 10d | Yes | 385 | 4¢ → 12¢ | $48 | +$34 +240% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 250 | 9¢ → 19¢ | $46 | +$24 +106% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 213 | 2¢ → 22¢ | $46 | +$42 +984% |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Ends in 69d | Yes | 686 | 3¢ → 7¢ | $46 | +$25 +122% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 844 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $46 | +$29 +170% |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 582 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $45 | +$28 +156% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,250 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $45 | +$26 +139% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,000 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $44 | +$14 +45% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,183 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $43 | −$19 −31% |
| Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?Ends in 41d | Yes | 370 | 5¢ → 12¢ | $42 | +$24 +130% |
| Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Ends ended | No | 801 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $42 | +$13 +44% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,725 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $42 | +$18 +71% |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 97d | Yes | 1,208 | 43¢ → 3¢ | $41 | −$478 −92% |
| Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 15d | Yes | 92 | 21¢ → 45¢ | $41 | +$22 +112% |
| US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 556 | 4¢ → 7¢ | $40 | +$19 +93% |
| Will Geralt of Rivia die during "The Witcher: Season 5"?Ends in 250d | No | 250 | 7¢ → 16¢ | $40 | +$23 +129% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,115 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $40 | +$14 +57% |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 435 | 3¢ → 9¢ | $40 | +$27 +214% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,250 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $39 | +$8 +24% |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 50¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$19 +96% |
| Will Tomáš Rec be the next Mayor of Liberec?Ends ended | No | 39 | 41¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$22 +138% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,563 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $37 | +$9 +31% |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,475 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $35 | +$18 +105% |
| Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Ends in 226d | Yes | 190 | 5¢ → 18¢ | $34 | +$25 +263% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,503 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $34 | +$4 +12% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | Yes | 451 | 1¢ → 8¢ | $34 | +$28 +504% |
