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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 10,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| ↓ 5,000 | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| ↑ 190,000 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| ↓ 45,000 | 5% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $42.6K | in 69d |
| ↑ 120,000 | 5% | — | −1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | $14.7K | in 69d |
| ↓ 70,000 | 36% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | $13.5K | in 69d |
| ↑ 90,000 | 52% | −3 pts | −2 pts | 51¢ · 52¢ (1¢) | $9.74K | in 69d |
| ↓ 55,000 | 10% | — | −1 pts | 9¢ · 10¢ (1¢) | $7.88K | in 69d |
| ↓ 50,000 | 8% | — | — | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $7.55K | in 69d |
| ↓ 60,000 | 14% | — | −2 pts | 14¢ · 15¢ (1¢) | $7.26K | in 69d |
| ↓ 35,000 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $6.91K | in 69d |
| ↑ 95,000 | 30% | −3 pts | −6 pts | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | $6.62K | in 69d |
| ↑ 160,000 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $5.06K | in 69d |
| ↑ 500,000 | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.67K | in 69d |
| ↓ 30,000 | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $3.18K | in 69d |
| ↑ 1,000,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.12K | in 69d |
| ↑ 100,000 | 20% | −1 pts | — | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | $1.5K | in 69d |
| ↑ 110,000 | 9% | +1 pts | −2 pts | 8¢ · 9¢ (1¢) | $686 | in 69d |
| ↓ 65,000 | 23% | −1 pts | — | 22¢ · 23¢ (1¢) | $601 | in 69d |
| ↓ 40,000 | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $492 | in 69d |
| ↑ 130,000 | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $262 | in 69d |
| ↓ 15,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $239 | in 69d |
| ↓ 20,000 | 1% | — | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $217 | in 69d |
| ↑ 140,000 | 3% | — | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (<1¢) | $185 | in 69d |
| ↓ 25,000 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $169 | in 69d |
| ↑ 180,000 | 1% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $155 | in 69d |
| ↑ 250,000 | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $30.1 | in 69d |
| ↑ 150,000 | 2% | — | 0 pts | 2¢ · 2¢ (<1¢) | $15.7 | in 69d |
| ↑ 200,000 | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $15 | in 69d |
| ↑ 170,000 | 1% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $10 | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | JnStPrdctns2 fills | ↑ 95,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 71¢ | $3,034 | +$39 +1.3% | 7 |
| 2h |  justdance4 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 36¢ | $5,935 | +$450 +7.6% | 13 |
| 5h | Gaditima2 fills | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo91¢ | $3,640 | −$20 −0.5% | 3 |
| 8h | Pol40 | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo91¢ | $2,000 | −$11 −0.5% | 4 |
| 8h | Pol40 | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo96¢ | $3,000 | −$16 −0.5% | 3 |
| 8h | Pol40 | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo93¢ | $5,000 | −$27 −0.5% | 3 |
| 9h | Shrill-Suet-Eyelids | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 49¢ | $1,342 | +$21 +1.6% | 5 |
| 12h | xiaoxiongxiong | ↑ 1,000,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,597 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12h | oegdatam | ↑ 160,000 | SellNo98¢ | $4,904 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 14h | Organic-Intensity2 fills | ↓ 45,000 | BuyYes5¢ | $8,979 | −$1,025 −11% | 23 |
| 1d | iliabouchouev2 fills | ↑ 1,000,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,980 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 1d |  Kuukskes | ↑ 500,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,894 | −$3 −0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | JnStPrdctns9 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 65¢ | $45,561 | −$5,341 −12% | 6 |
| 1d | Tokor2 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 81¢ | $8,113 | +$1,448 +18% | 7 |
| 1d | emrico | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 36¢ | $1,000 | +$14 +1.4% | 3 |
| 1d | pb7 | ↑ 200,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $7,828 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↑ 110,000 | SellNo92¢ | $7,949 | +$43 +0.5% | — |
| 1d | Serene-Decision | ↓ 25,000 | SellNo99¢ | $4,412 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Serene-Decision2 fills | ↑ 110,000 | BuyNo92¢ | $24,282 | −$101 −0.4% | 3 |
| 1d | 03303303313 fills | ↑ 1,000,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $106,521 | −$27 −0.0% | 2 |
| 1d | 89whytea89 | ↑ 180,000 | SellNo99¢ | $2,465 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 1d | 89whytea89 | ↑ 120,000 | SellNo94¢ → 96¢ | $4,700 | −$75 −1.6% | — |
| 1d | 89whytea89 | ↑ 140,000 | SellNo97¢ | $5,516 | −$1 −0.0% | — |
| 1d | larkspur2 fills | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo93¢ | $228,534 | −$1,229 −0.5% | 3 |
| 1d | Indelible-Roast2 fills | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo78¢ | $2,685 | +$3 +0.1% | — |
| 1d | foodbody | ↑ 130,000 | SellNo97¢ | $8,778 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 1d | Indelible-Roast3 fills | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 81¢ | $3,000 | +$713 +24% | 7 |
| 1d |  boyau | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 36¢ | $1,087 | +$291 +27% | 4 |
| 1d | 0xf705…3ca7 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 36¢ | $2,800 | +$750 +27% | 10 |
| 1d | JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | ↓ 55,000 | SellNo91¢ | $1,815 | +$10 +0.5% | — |
| 2d | Insidious-Subcomponent | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 78¢ | $1,100 | −$48 −4.3% | 5 |
| 2d | boyau | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo73¢ → 81¢ | $4,297 | −$441 −10% | — |
| 2d | boyau | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo93¢ | $91,562 | −$492 −0.5% | 3 |
| 2d | boyau3 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 52¢ | $13,430 | −$4,064 −30% | 6 |
| 2d | boyau | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo91¢ | $7,862 | −$43 −0.5% | 3 |
| 2d | boyau | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo86¢ | $22,692 | −$132 −0.6% | 4 |
| 2d | DFV211 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $46,595 | +$325 +0.7% | 5 |
| 2d | chirico2 fills | ↑ 110,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 92¢ | $4,247 | +$23 +0.5% | 4 |
| 2d | CauchyBraids2 fills | ↑ 90,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 52¢ | $7,186 | −$1,339 −19% | 7 |
| 2d | female | ↑ 250,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,222 | −$2 −0.1% | 2 |
| 2d | CauchyBraids | ↓ 70,000 | SellYes35¢ → 36¢ | $1,615 | −$23 −1.4% | — |
| 2d | Corrupt-Lark | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 93¢ | $8,156 | +$44 +0.5% | 3 |
| 3d | DFV220 fills | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo93¢ | $78,396 | −$207 −0.3% | 3 |
| 3d | oegdatam36 fills | ↓ 50,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 93¢ | $148,386 | +$366 +0.2% | 3 |
| 3d | oegdatam | ↑ 130,000 | SellNo97¢ | $4,919 | −$8 −0.2% | — |
| 3d |  Car | ↓ 45,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 95¢ | $10,212 | −$48 −0.5% | 3 |
| 3d | ohranoid3 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 36¢ | $5,069 | +$505 +10.0% | 12 |
| 3d | emrico | ↓ 60,000 | SellYes14¢ | $1,400 | −$50 −3.6% | — |
| 3d | JnStrtPrdctnMrkts | ↓ 50,000 | SellNo92¢ → 93¢ | $10,500 | −$57 −0.5% | — |
| 3d | TrashGood | ↑ 250,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,800 | −$1 −0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | Indelible-Roast | ↑ 90,000 | BuyNo43¢ → 49¢ | $1,000 | +$128 +13% | 4 |
| 3d | Flamboyant-Warming | ↑ 130,000 | SellNo97¢ | $2,637 | +$1 +0.1% | — |
| 3d | Chakamanle5 fills | ↑ 100,000 | SellYes23¢ → 20¢ | $14,236 | +$2,279 +16% | — |
| 3d | thisisnotsatoshi | ↑ 100,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 81¢ | $1,699 | +$32 +1.9% | 6 |
| 3d | 89whytea89 | ↑ 110,000 | SellNo90¢ → 92¢ | $2,250 | −$37 −1.7% | — |
| 3d | Bailu2026 | ↓ 35,000 | SellYes2¢ | $1,207 | +$0 +0.0% | — |
| 4d | JamieIstanbul4 fills | ↑ 100,000 | SellNo78¢ → 81¢ | $7,781 | −$269 −3.5% | — |
| 4d | oegdatam13 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 86¢ | $51,889 | +$440 +0.8% | 5 |
| 4d | oegdatam5 fills | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 91¢ | $20,478 | +$303 +1.5% | 4 |
| 4d | EhPmg | ↑ 200,000 | BuyNo99¢ | $2,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
Chessxyz2,128 shares
LornaPredicts1,160 sharesjustdance14,871 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: <1¢ for ↓ 10,000 means the market gives it about <1%.