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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 150k | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 200k | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 130k | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 125k | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| ↑ 120k | 100% | +20 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 100k | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 140k | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 95k | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60k | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 115k | 100% | +34 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 90k | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 110k | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 105k | 0% | 0 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 449d |  YuoriTyy | ↑ 130k | SellNo>99¢ | $82,114 | −$82 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Hawkie | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $4,693 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Terry333 | ↑ 200k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,718 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Terry333 | ↑ 140k | SellNo>99¢ | $3,682 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | choooser | ↑ 130k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Superman5565 | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,646 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Chili007 | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 449d |  Babar1952 | ↑ 130k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d |  HyperPoor | ↓ 105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,350 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d |  PaddyAlpha | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,477 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | PaddyAlpha | ↑ 130k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,918 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | DmJug | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $3,553 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | Argh | ↓ 95k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,825 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | rwo | ↓ 95k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,242 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | HyperPoor | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d |  Anjun | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,740 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Cover2 fills | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,996 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | 0xb68a…c568 | ↓ 105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,058 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d |  prescient | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,986 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 449d | prescient2 fills | ↓ 105k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,845 | −$142 −1.8% | — |
| 449d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | ↑ 125k | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $11,017 | +$1,071 +9.7% | 2 |
| 449d | cockroacher | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d |  Debosnys | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,060 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 449d | Ikkyu12 fills | ↑ 125k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,189 | −$220 −1.0% | — |
| 449d | Xgs | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,172 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | iamgone4 fills | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,595 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 449d | Gundi | ↑ 150k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,088 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d |  Hydra | ↑ 140k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,002 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 449d | Hydra2 fills | ↑ 200k | SellNo>99¢ | $7,000 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | NatanM | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | dapanda | ↑ 125k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,779 | −$176 −1.5% | — |
| 449d | NatanM | ↓ 105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d |  UwO2 fills | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $12,974 | −$26 −0.2% | — |
| 449d | elPolloLoco8 fills | ↑ 150k | SellNo>99¢ | $53,761 | −$88 −0.2% | — |
| 449d |  Chuddy | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,994 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 449d | lowrisk243 fills | ↓ 100k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,542 | −$80 −0.6% | — |
| 449d | AZwater2 fills | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,670 | +$28 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d |  Shin-Eun-ji2 fills | ↑ 125k | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,240 | −$534 −6.5% | — |
| 449d |  b1z | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $5,953 | −$18 −0.3% | — |
| 449d | northsonic2 fills | ↓ 90k | SellNo>99¢ | $3,606 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | NightCrawler89 | ↓ 95k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 449d |  betjunkie | ↑ 125k | SellNo>99¢ | $4,374 | −$13 −0.3% | — |
| 449d | Bletka | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,905 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Mandarynka | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,727 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 449d | iamgone | ↓ 105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,212 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | iamgone | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,295 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | 0x470c4462c67a3fab03901b81c0b96909f8330ca6 | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,293 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Wzialem | ↓ 105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | swansonkristina | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,031 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Trump2028 | ↑ 125k | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,931 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 449d | Trump20283 fills | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,498 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 449d | hwilkinson | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,011 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Bletka | ↑ 140k | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,936 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Mata | ↓ 105k | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,031 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | Mata | ↑ 140k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,986 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 449d | leiger2 fills | ↓ 100k | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,714 | +$20 +0.4% | 2 |
| 449d | carlpena | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,041 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | noblejodi | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,009 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | bobby65 | ↑ 130k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,037 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 449d | harrisgeorge | ↑ 140k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,035 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
Bitcoin Hit Price market for July
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 150k means the market gives it about 0%.