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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 113k | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 122k | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 124k | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 115k | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 126k | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 116k | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| ↓ 117k | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 114k | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| ↓ 110k | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| ↑ 120k | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 453d |  prescient | ↓ 114k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 453d | rwo | ↓ 113k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,248 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 453d | rwo | ↑ 126k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,473 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 453d | nonkenny90 | ↓ 113k | SellNo>99¢ | $1,025 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 453d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | ↑ 122k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,437 | +$553 +3.4% | 2 |
| 453d |  Bucovina | ↓ 113k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,046 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 453d | Thin-Print | ↓ 113k | SellNo>99¢ | $7,657 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 453d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | ↑ 124k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,192 | +$21 +0.7% | 2 |
| 453d | froguser | ↑ 126k | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,609 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 453d | Muskk | ↓ 110k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,294 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 453d |  winner123 | ↑ 126k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 454d | prescient | ↓ 114k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,940 | +$60 +2.0% | 2 |
| 454d | 0xb68a…c568 | ↓ 113k | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 454d | 0xb68a…c5682 fills | ↑ 122k | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,814 | −$186 −3.9% | — |
| 454d | GeoPolArb2 fills | ↑ 122k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,381 | +$115 +4.8% | 2 |
| 454d | GeoPolArb | ↓ 113k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,136 | −$20 −1.7% | — |
| 454d |  manwithahat | ↓ 114k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 454d | michaelll | ↑ 124k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,015 | −$39 −1.9% | — |
| 454d | 0xb68a…c5683 fills | ↓ 113k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $9,219 | +$318 +3.4% | 2 |
| 455d |  GeckoStarlight | ↓ 113k | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,805 | −$95 −5.3% | — |
| 455d | affs20791 | ↑ 122k | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,846 | +$155 +4.0% | 2 |
| 455d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 124k | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,777 | +$62 +2.2% | 2 |
| 455d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | ↓ 113k | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$62 +5.3% | 2 |
| 455d | Niseko | ↑ 124k | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | −$34 −2.0% | — |
| 455d | GeoPolArb | ↓ 113k | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,078 | +$77 +7.1% | 2 |
| 455d |  GongxifacaiRMB | ↑ 122k | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,803 | −$192 −6.8% | — |
| 455d | manwithahat3 fills | ↓ 113k | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $5,395 | +$2,636 +49% | 3 |
| 455d | loves | ↓ 113k | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $6,977 | −$1,740 −25% | — |
| 455d |  justdance | ↓ 113k | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$510 +23% | 3 |
| 455d | loves3 fills | ↓ 113k | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $6,696 | +$1,685 +25% | 3 |
| 455d | GeoPolArb | ↑ 122k | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | −$55 −5.3% | — |
| 455d | Ikkyu18 fills | ↓ 113k | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $19,370 | +$5,813 +30% | 2 |
| 455d | Niseko2 fills | ↓ 113k | SellNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,525 | −$975 −28% | — |
| 455d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 113k | SellYes32¢ → 0¢ | $2,741 | +$2,741 +100% | — |
| 456d | manwithahat | ↓ 113k | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,320 | −$1,320 −100% | 4 |
| 456d | Bucovina | ↓ 113k | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$717 +54% | 3 |
| 456d |  AgricultureSecretary | ↓ 115k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | +$28 +1.4% | 2 |
| 456d | MagicalCompound | ↓ 113k | SellNo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$1,008 −100% | — |
| 456d | Ikkyu15 fills | ↑ 122k | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $11,637 | +$3,682 +32% | 2 |
| 456d | manwithahat | ↓ 115k | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$690 +30% | 2 |
| 456d | GrindMo4 fills | ↓ 113k | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $13,027 | +$1,635 +13% | 2 |
| 456d | manwithahat3 fills | ↑ 122k | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $4,772 | +$1,804 +38% | 2 |
| 456d | Ikkyu13 fills | ↑ 124k | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $4,296 | +$626 +15% | 2 |
| 456d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 122k | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $4,426 | +$1,988 +45% | 3 |
| 456d | GeckoStarlight | ↓ 116k | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,835 | −$1,835 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | justdance | ↓ 115k | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $2,015 | −$2,015 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | manwithahat2 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,630 | +$2,370 +65% | 3 |
| 456d | elPolloLoco3 fills | ↑ 122k | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,120 | −$3,120 −100% | 6 |
| 457d | FlowMo | ↓ 113k | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,935 | +$315 +16% | 2 |
| 457d | GongxifacaiRMB | ↑ 122k | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,380 | +$620 +45% | 3 |
| 457d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 116k | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $3,068 | +$2,947 +96% | 3 |
| 457d | justdance | ↓ 115k | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | +$1,654 +122% | 3 |
| 457d | justdance | ↓ 113k | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,068 | −$1,068 −100% | 3 |
| 458d | michaelll | ↑ 124k | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | +$329 +19% | 2 |
| 458d | Thin-Print | ↑ 126k | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $2,922 | +$685 +23% | 2 |
| 458d | Thin-Print | ↓ 113k | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,060 | +$540 +18% | 2 |
| 458d | Amir96 | ↑ 122k | BuyYes67¢ → 0¢ | $2,021 | −$2,021 −100% | 3 |
| 458d | manwithahat | ↓ 116k | BuyNo45¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 3 |
| 458d | MagicalCompound | ↓ 113k | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,350 | +$890 +27% | 2 |
| 458d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 115k | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $1,830 | −$1,830 −100% | 3 |
Bitcoin Hit Price market for the week
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 113k means the market gives it about 0%.