Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,120 | +$314 +2.8% | 2 | |
| 60d | Noteagle | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,005 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | ↑ 83,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,033 | −$85 −8.2% | — | |
| 60d | mathiinfo | ↑ 81,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,831 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | duneprod1 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,770 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 60d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,707 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 | |
| 60d | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,779 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 60d | onlyhit | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $2,435 | −$2,435 −100% | 2 |
| 60d | lingke | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | magcidwa | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 60d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $4,854 | −$4,854 −100% | 2 |
| 60d | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,351 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 60d | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,975 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 61d | Navigator77 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,382 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 61d | Navigator772 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,300 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 61d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,059 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 61d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,007 | +$124 +2.5% | 2 |
| 61d | ↑ 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,176 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 61d | kai-xin | ↑ 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,541 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 61d | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,147 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,202 | −$1,202 −100% | 4 |
| 61d | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $3,317 | −$3,317 −100% | 4 | |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | +$553 +23% | 3 |
| 61d | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo60¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$1,820 +67% | 4 | |
| 61d | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,549 | +$1,001 +28% | 3 | |
| 61d | VASIL | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,105 | +$1,895 +171% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 24?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 81,000 means the market gives it about 100%.