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Polymarket wallet 0xa83a50bd49987854225384e3df1efbc276681e64 · on Polymarket since Jul 24, 2026 · also shown as Able-Color
t r a d e e v e r y t h i n g : 3
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Ends in 100d | Yes | 1,566 | 64¢ → 43¢ | $677 | −$324 −32% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 547 | 37¢ → 77¢ | $419 | +$219 +109% |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 4,873 | 21¢ → 3¢ | $132 | −$868 −87% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 421 | 17¢ → 11¢ | $46 | −$24 −34% |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 79 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 274 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$170 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 August 24-30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 968 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$300 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,852 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,105 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.