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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 145d | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,983 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 145d | cashdlkcb23tfsd | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,995 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 145d | xixuebitebi | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,006 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 145d | sdfsdgdfg | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,116 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 145d | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,221 | +$522 +12% | 3 | |
| 145d | ↓ 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 146d | ↓ 73,000 | BuyYes31¢ → 0¢ | $3,590 | −$3,590 −100% | 9 | |
| 146d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$133 +8.5% | 3 |
| 146d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$37 +0.9% | 2 |
| 146d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 73,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,415 | −$1,415 −100% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 31?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 74,000 means the market gives it about 100%.