| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 35,426 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $34,523 | +$422 +1.2% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 31,904 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $28,873 | +$952 +3.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 28,951 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $25,332 | +$478 +1.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 22,634 | 85¢ → 87¢ | $19,680 | +$498 +2.6% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 14,415 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $14,018 | +$175 +1.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 10,600 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $10,017 | +$102 +1.0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 11,482 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $8,784 | +$390 +4.6% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 40d | No | 5,643 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $5,220 | +$70 +1.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 5,000 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $4,575 | −$66 −1.4% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 13d | No | 4,170 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $3,857 | +$36 +0.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 3,788 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $3,758 | +$91 +2.5% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 4,000 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $3,720 | −$49 −1.3% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 3,825 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $3,538 | +$51 +1.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 4,000 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $3,460 | −$100 −2.8% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 3,297 | 92¢ → 98¢ | $3,239 | +$194 +6.4% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 3,345 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $3,216 | +$204 +6.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 2,500 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,449 | +$29 +1.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 2,939 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $2,395 | −$89 −3.6% |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Ends in 70d | No | 2,616 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $2,368 | +$81 +3.6% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 2,235 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $2,149 | +$181 +9.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2,189 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $2,149 | +$269 +14% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 2,242 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $2,096 | +$345 +20% |
| Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 2,267 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $2,052 | +$145 +7.6% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 2,116 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $2,012 | +$152 +8.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 101d | No | 2,000 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $1,850 | −$10 −0.5% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 2,000 | 80¢ → 91¢ | $1,810 | +$204 +13% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1,400 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $1,343 | +$105 +8.4% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1,481 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $1,266 | +$13 +1.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 1,578 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $1,239 | +$25 +2.0% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1,282 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $1,214 | +$69 +6.1% |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1,227 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,207 | +$7 +0.5% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1,296 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $1,173 | +$41 +3.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1,199 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $1,168 | +$64 +5.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 40d | No | 1,220 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $1,153 | +$51 +4.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 3,488 | 76¢ → 33¢ | $1,144 | −$1,505 −57% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 1,202 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $1,107 | +$112 +11% |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1,173 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $1,087 | +$44 +4.2% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 1,145 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $1,071 | +$80 +8.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 1,000 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $989 | +$12 +1.2% |
| Houthis enter Aden by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 950 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $938 | +$125 +15% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1,041 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $911 | +$51 +5.9% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 40d | No | 1,200 | 76¢ → 76¢ | $906 | −$4 −0.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 905 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $883 | +$31 +3.6% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 72d | Yes | 1,300 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $877 | −$17 −1.9% |
| Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 951 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $842 | +$82 +11% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 840 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $832 | +$14 +1.8% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1,220 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $823 | +$11 +1.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,000 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $815 | +$30 +3.8% |
| Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 900 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $770 | +$18 +2.4% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 840 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $769 | −$15 −1.9% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1,000 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $760 | +$5 +0.7% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 70d | No | 700 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $678 | +$53 +8.5% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 801 | 65¢ → 85¢ | $677 | +$154 +29% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 665 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $659 | +$34 +5.5% |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 71d | No | 710 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $657 | +$36 +5.7% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 700 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $638 | +$34 +5.6% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 13d | No | 600 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $589 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.4% before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 611 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $583 | +$32 +5.9% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 763 | 77¢ → 74¢ | $565 | −$22 −3.8% |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 608 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $540 | +$28 +5.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 15h | Yes | 530 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $505 | +$5 +1.0% |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 71d | No | 548 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $502 | +$26 +5.5% |
| Houthis seize an oil tanker by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 543 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $502 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 621 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $494 | +$54 +12% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Ends in 70d | No | 507 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $464 | +$104 +29% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 10d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $448 | +$5 +1.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 500 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $415 | +$11 +2.7% |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 466 | 83¢ → 87¢ | $406 | +$21 +5.4% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 420 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $402 | +$54 +15% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 400 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $394 | +$14 +3.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 800 | 78¢ → 49¢ | $388 | −$236 −38% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 600 | 37¢ → 63¢ | $375 | +$153 +69% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 13d | Yes | 600 | 62¢ → 62¢ | $373 | −$0 −0.1% |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028?Ends in 436d | No | 500 | 72¢ → 73¢ | $363 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 13d | Yes | 400 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $355 | +$2 +0.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 3d | Yes | 400 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $354 | −$4 −1.1% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 400 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $354 | +$16 +4.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 71d | Yes | 420 | 58¢ → 81¢ | $338 | +$94 +39% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 353 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $337 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | Yes | 600 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $333 | −$36 −9.8% |
| Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 362 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $318 | +$14 +4.6% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 38d | Yes | 500 | 81¢ → 63¢ | $312 | −$92 −23% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Ends in 71d | No | 341 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $302 | +$7 +2.3% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 2,700 | 11¢ → 11¢ | $297 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $296 | +$52 +21% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $295 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 324 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $295 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$23 +8.6% |
| Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?Ends in 12d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $291 | +$30 +11% |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $287 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $286 | −$3 −1.1% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $273 | +$21 +8.3% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 280 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $264 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?Ends in 70d | No | 260 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $251 | +$5 +2.1% |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 300 | 65¢ → 84¢ | $251 | +$56 +28% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 400 | 63¢ → 62¢ | $248 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 2,590 | 19¢ → 9¢ | $245 | −$247 −50% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 320 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $243 | −$12 −4.8% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in October?Ends in 10d | No | 230 | 90¢ → 99¢ | $229 | +$22 +11% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 250 | 74¢ → 91¢ | $226 | +$40 +22% |
