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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d | Noteagle | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,569 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d |  67676767676767676767676767 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,553 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d |  upont2 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,076 | +$59 +0.7% | 2 |
| 3d | Tianhe | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$30 +2.1% | 2 |
| 3d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d |  Facaie | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,247 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 3d | trx1 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$42 +2.9% | 2 |
| 3d | Navigator77 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,540 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d | Navigator77 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,500 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 3d |  justdance4 fills | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $10,943 | +$1,712 +16% | 3 |
| 3d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 3 |
| 3d | Corny-Mincemeat | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes10¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | −$1,015 −100% | 4 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$96 +8.7% | 3 |
| 3d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | +$113 +8.7% | 3 |
balthazar130 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 85,000 means the market gives it about 0%.