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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d |  Facaie | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,368 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 52d | smartttt | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | +$78 +3.8% | 2 |
| 52d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,924 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 52d | YautjaPM2 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,197 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$153 +9.9% | 3 |
| 52d |  walnascar | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 52d | duneprod1 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | +$88 +3.1% | 2 |
| 53d | VASIL | ↓ 77,000 | SellYes37¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | −$1,886 −169% | — |
| 53d | farthingmore | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$84 +5.9% | 2 |
| 53d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,198 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 53d | Navigator77 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,200 | +$13 +0.4% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,182 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,181 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 53d | Davorios | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,141 | +$39 +1.8% | 2 |
| 53d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,862 | +$278 +15% | 3 |
| 53d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 0¢ | $1,340 | −$1,340 −100% | 4 |
| 53d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 53d |  endlesssss | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,782 +89% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 77,000 means the market gives it about 100%.