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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 114,000 | 0% | −12 pts | −57 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 118,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 110,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −55 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 112,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −56 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 120,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 130,000 | 0% | — | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 108,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 106,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 128,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 126,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 104,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 102,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 397d |  DegenApe992 fills | ↓ 114,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $9,630 | −$630 −6.5% | — |
| 397d | Gamble.and.bankurpt | ↓ 108,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,046 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 397d | Gamble.and.bankurpt | ↓ 106,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,090 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 397d | 22323 | ↓ 114,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,304 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 397d |  GeckoStarlight | ↓ 114,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | −$215 −9.1% | — |
| 397d |  brodiaga2 fills | ↓ 112,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,249 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d |  UwO | ↓ 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,387 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 397d | UwO | ↓ 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,958 | +$51 +0.9% | 2 |
| 397d |  Debosnys | ↓ 108,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,387 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 397d | Debosnys | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,955 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | Debosnys | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,479 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | Debosnys | ↑ 128,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,514 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | brodiaga | ↓ 104,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,777 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | brodiaga | ↓ 102,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,445 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | UwO | ↓ 108,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,787 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 397d | UwO | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,433 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d |  justdance4 fills | ↓ 114,000 | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $6,553 | +$5,310 +81% | 3 |
| 397d |  brockthebaby2 fills | ↓ 114,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $4,501 | +$2,566 +57% | 3 |
| 397d | 3456apple | ↓ 114,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,927 | −$73 −3.8% | — |
| 397d | iamgone4 fills | ↓ 110,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $25,901 | +$400 +1.5% | 2 |
| 397d | iamgone2 fills | ↓ 112,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,484 | +$27 +0.6% | 2 |
| 397d | iamgone | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,564 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 397d | AZwater2 fills | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,864 | +$136 +1.7% | 2 |
| 397d | Definitive-SaintNew account | ↑ 120,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,423 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 397d | AZwater | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,053 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 398d | iamgone | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,277 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 398d |  Menelao | ↓ 114,000 | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | −$227 −18% | — |
| 398d | 223232 fills | ↓ 114,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $9,902 | +$1,184 +12% | 2 |
| 398d | luiz8782 fills | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $10,233 | +$2,392 +23% | 3 |
| 398d | Fuquan | ↑ 120,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$23 −2.2% | — |
| 398d |  arcisdead | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,860 | +$29 +1.0% | 2 |
| 398d | justdance | ↓ 112,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,910 | +$90 +4.7% | 2 |
| 398d | RothschildVIII | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$157 +15% | 3 |
| 398d | RothschildVIII | ↓ 114,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$200 +19% | 3 |
| 399d | szakal | ↑ 126,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 399d | gta6acc | ↓ 114,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $4,539 | +$1,434 +32% | 3 |
| 399d |  PolBenson | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | +$184 +14% | 3 |
| 399d | affs20791 | ↓ 106,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 399d | brockthebaby5 fills | ↓ 114,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $7,068 | −$7,068 −100% | 3 |
| 399d | HandsomeLi | ↓ 110,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | +$45 +3.6% | 2 |
| 399d | brockthebaby3 fills | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $8,505 | +$1,695 +20% | 2 |
| 399d | AZwater | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 399d | affs20791 | ↓ 112,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$189 +6.7% | 2 |
| 399d | affs207912 fills | ↑ 120,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,296 | +$704 +13% | 2 |
| 399d | iamgone3 fills | ↑ 130,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,739 | +$209 +0.8% | 2 |
| 399d | iamgone | ↓ 108,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,324 | +$76 +1.4% | 2 |
| 399d |  Prophet-Z | ↑ 118,000 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $4,411 | +$4,411 +100% | — |
| 399d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$7,325 +197% | 7 |
| 399d |  HowToBasic | ↑ 130,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 400d | fintrader | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,800 +127% | 4 |
| 400d | Menelao | ↑ 118,000 | SellYes60¢ → 0¢ | $1,186 | +$1,186 +100% | — |
| 400d | aadvark2 fills | ↑ 118,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $3,764 | +$5,100 +135% | 4 |
| 400d | nonkenny90 | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,705 | +$95 +3.5% | 2 |
| 400d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $6,634 | +$737 +11% | 2 |
| 400d | HandsomeLi | ↑ 122,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,620 | +$180 +11% | 2 |
| 400d |  stackinbit | ↑ 118,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 2 |
| 400d | stackinbit | ↓ 114,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$247 +12% | 2 |
| 400d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 118,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $6,105 | −$6,105 −100% | 2 |
| 400d | ElCoronos | ↑ 118,000 | SellNo15¢ → 100¢ | $1,173 | −$6,645 −567% | — |
| 400d | Menelao | ↑ 118,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,029 | −$1,029 −100% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit September 15-21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 114,000 means the market gives it about 0%.