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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 126,000 | 0% | −75 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 122,000 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 124,000 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 118,000 | 100% | +74 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 120,000 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 110,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 116,000 | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 106,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 108,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 104,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 102,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 114,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 100,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −49 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 383d | DonaldMusk12 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,227 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 383d | likui3426 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,140 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 383d | aadvark6 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $12,483 | +$1,038 +8.3% | 2 |
| 383d | c38c2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,903 | +$97 +0.8% | 2 |
| 383d | JSL23 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,908 | +$92 +1.9% | 2 |
| 383d | Mr.Fujin2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | SellNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,568 | −$832 −13% | — |
| 383d | senyan | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,128 | +$31 +2.7% | 2 |
| 383d | affs207917 fills | ↑ 126,000 | SellNo38¢ → 100¢ | $10,575 | −$17,261 −163% | — |
| 384d | Vadar888 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,868 | +$49 +2.6% | 2 |
| 384d | nonkenny903 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,234 | +$302 +5.8% | 2 |
| 384d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c2010 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $25,273 | +$7,081 +28% | 3 |
| 384d | OLOTH | ↓ 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,137 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 384d |  WaitHope | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,067 | +$427 +10% | 3 |
| 384d | TexMexTRex | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$505 +13% | 3 |
| 384d |  winner123 | ↓ 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 384d |  justdance6 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $18,770 | +$4,333 +23% | 3 |
| 384d | affs2079114 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $35,666 | +$6,261 +18% | 2 |
| 384d | kulipa | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$1,748 +96% | 4 |
| 384d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyYes58¢ → 0¢ | $3,513 | −$3,513 −100% | 4 |
| 384d | Mr.Fujin2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $2,411 | +$4,090 +170% | 6 |
| 384d | LSatoshi2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo37¢ → 100¢ | $3,221 | +$5,579 +173% | 7 |
| 384d | MACandCHEESE2 fills | ↑ 126,000 | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $6,526 | +$6,526 +100% | — |
| 384d | Chalasis | ↑ 126,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 0¢ | $1,222 | −$1,222 −100% | 4 |
| 384d |  SappySeal67 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo25¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$3,300 +300% | 4 |
| 384d | benzioguerriero | ↑ 126,000 | SellYes73¢ → 0¢ | $1,991 | +$1,991 +100% | — |
| 384d | Aromatic-TreasureNew account | ↑ 126,000 | SellYes76¢ → 0¢ | $2,690 | +$2,690 +100% | — |
| 384d | Ultimate-Reader | ↑ 126,000 | SellYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,562 | +$1,562 +100% | — |
| 384d |  GregSharp | ↓ 110,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 384d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c20 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 3 |
| 384d | SappySeal67 | ↑ 126,000 | SellYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,166 | +$1,166 +100% | — |
| 384d | elPolloLoco | ↑ 126,000 | SellNo65¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | −$882 −54% | — |
| 384d |  Loser-Boy | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 4 |
| 384d | tanner1117 | ↓ 110,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,503 | −$10 −0.4% | — |
| 384d | affs207915 fills | ↑ 124,000 | SellNo51¢ → 0¢ | $11,252 | +$11,252 +100% | — |
| 385d | AZwater | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,191 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 385d | AZwater | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,536 | +$78 +3.1% | 2 |
| 385d |  stackinbit | ↓ 108,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,399 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 385d | stackinbit | ↓ 106,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,104 | −$42 −0.6% | — |
| 385d | affs2079112 fills | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 0¢ | $37,357 | −$37,357 −100% | 2 |
| 385d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c207 fills | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $25,661 | −$25,661 −100% | 2 |
| 385d | froguser | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,925 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 385d | Ada198 | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$113 +9.9% | 2 |
| 385d | GMor | ↓ 106,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,960 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 385d | ElCoronos | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $2,561 | −$2,561 −100% | 3 |
| 385d | 3456apple | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 0¢ | $1,779 | −$1,779 −100% | 3 |
| 385d | WCBT | ↑ 126,000 | BuyYes13¢ → 0¢ | $1,024 | −$1,024 −100% | 3 |
| 385d | Chalasis | ↑ 124,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | +$1,447 +93% | 3 |
| 385d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c203 fills | ↑ 124,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 100¢ | $5,327 | +$8,594 +161% | 7 |
| 385d | xiaohui18 | ↑ 124,000 | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 385d | xiaohui18 | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,658 | −$2,658 −100% | 3 |
| 385d | iiiiiiiiiiuuiui | ↑ 126,000 | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,990 | −$260 −5.2% | — |
| 385d | iiiiiiiiiiuuiui | ↑ 126,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$146 +2.9% | 2 |
| 385d |  HowToBasic | ↓ 108,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 385d | MACandCHEESE | ↑ 124,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $4,497 | +$6,903 +154% | 6 |
| 385d | KimchiCognac | ↑ 124,000 | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | −$2,663 −191% | — |
| 386d | Dell.hefty.4D | ↑ 124,000 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,515 | −$1,515 −100% | 3 |
| 386d | justdance3 fills | ↑ 124,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $3,353 | +$2,711 +81% | 3 |
| 386d |  exit-liqudity | ↑ 122,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,335 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 386d | c38c | ↑ 122,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 386d | Kooky-Grenade | ↑ 124,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,115 +37% | 3 |
BigOddsPlayer1,300 shares
bombo1,234 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit September 29-October 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 126,000 means the market gives it about 0%.