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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $45,000 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $60,000 | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| $50,000 | 100% | +83 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| $55,000 | 100% | +12 pts | 0 pts | 55¢ · 56¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| $65,000 | 100% | +13 pts | 0 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 783d | zxc667788 | $45,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,296 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 783d | $45,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,686 | +$119 +1.8% | 2 | |
| 783d | Drab-Regulator | $45,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,053 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 783d | $45,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,737 | −$238 −3.5% | — | |
| 784d | huangdaxian | $45,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,780 | +$15 +0.4% | 2 |
| 784d | CoolBetguy | $45,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,066 | +$41 +0.6% | 2 |
| 785d | elPolloLoco | $45,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,103 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 785d | Neonview | $45,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $18,816 | +$152 +0.8% | 2 |
| 785d | cvsss | $45,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$8 +0.8% | 2 |
| 785d | vgvjhj | $45,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 786d | notgonnatrickme | $45,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | −$22 −1.9% | — |
| 786d | $45,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $26,167 | +$259 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 786d | hmmmmm-365 | $45,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,007 | −$50 −1.2% | — |
| 786d | $45,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $26,490 | −$427 −1.6% | — | |
| 788d | cochinnom | $45,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | −$13 −0.9% | — |
| 789d | xazibar | $45,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,895 | −$67 −1.7% | — |
| 790d | dickfuck | $45,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,735 | −$51 −1.9% | — |
| 791d | bubiubiu | $45,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,951 | +$93 +1.6% | 2 |
| 792d | dickfuck | $45,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$45 +4.3% | 2 |
| 794d | Gobi3144 fills | $45,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $18,813 | +$2,687 +14% | 2 |
| 794d | commeowder4 fills | $45,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $5,229 | +$311 +6.0% | 2 |
| 794d | Nobody23041 | $45,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,009 | −$63 −6.3% | — |
| 795d | xazibar | $45,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $3,739 | +$223 +6.0% | 2 |
| 797d | $45,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | −$245 −8.0% | — | |
| 800d | DonCorleone | $45,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | −$120 −6.4% | — |
| 800d | DonCorleone2 fills | $45,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | +$220 +7.1% | 2 |
| 800d | rblood | $45,000 | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | −$99 −6.3% | — |
| 800d | notgonnatrickme | $45,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,709 | +$318 +6.7% | 2 |
| 801d | rblood | $45,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$150 +10% | 2 |
| 801d | CoolBetguy | $45,000 | SellNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | −$462 −16% | — |
| 807d | big6big8 | $45,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,933 | +$996 +25% | 2 |
| 809d | ootharju | $50,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $2,246 | +$749 +33% | 2 |
| 809d | elPolloLoco | $45,000 | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $1,165 | +$1,165 +100% | — |
| 809d | $50,000 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 2 | |
| 810d | nada | $55,000 | BuyNo55¢ → 0¢ | $5,774 | −$5,774 −100% | 2 |
| 810d | $60,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $6,859 | +$140 +2.0% | 2 | |
| 810d | elPolloLoco | $60,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,068 | +$33 +3.1% | 2 |
| 810d | elPolloLoco | $60,000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,379 | −$407 −6.4% | — |
| 811d | $60,000 | SellNo13¢ → 0¢ | $1,142 | +$1,142 +100% | — | |
| 811d | $60,000 | BuyNo17¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | −$1,462 −100% | 4 | |
| 811d | infinitiphantom | $60,000 | SellYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | −$453 −33% | — |
| 812d | 1556 | $60,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,499 | −$2,499 −100% | 4 |
| 812d | 256465645 | $60,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $3,099 | −$3,099 −100% | 4 |
| 812d | infinitiphantom | $55,000 | SellNo74¢ → 0¢ | $1,697 | +$1,697 +100% | — |
| 812d | $45,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$111 +3.4% | 2 | |
| 812d | elPolloLoco | $50,000 | SellNo83¢ → 0¢ | $1,927 | +$1,927 +100% | — |
| 813d | bubiubiu | $50,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 2 |
| 813d | completion | $65,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,657 | +$27 +1.0% | 2 |
This is a market on predicting the price at which Bitcoin ($BTC) will dip below before the end of September.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $45,000 means the market gives it about 0%.