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Polymarket wallet 0xf4f3476be6e5b2de3a7e1bc849ff4b047bef330d · on Polymarket since Jan 31, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 37,335 | 48¢ → 96¢ | $36,009 | +$18,183 +102% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 83¢ → >99¢ | $1,495 | +$250 +20% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 153 | 54¢ → 98¢ | $150 | +$68 +82% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 95 | 54¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$51 −98% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 117 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$68 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Argentina | 98 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$110 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.