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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $180 | 100% | +51 pts | +37 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $225 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $165 | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $170 | 100% | +56 pts | +77 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $230 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $175 | 100% | +43 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $220 | 100% | +42 pts | +61 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $210 | 100% | +31 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $185 | 100% | +18 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $215 | 100% | +39 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $200 | 100% | +20 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $205 | 100% | +23 pts | +23 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $190 | 100% | +14 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $195 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $165 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,552 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 160d |  Cointraders | ↑ $225 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,051 | +$763 +25% | 4 |
| 165d | thisguymen | ↓ $180 | SellNo41¢ → 0¢ | $1,010 | +$1,010 +100% | — |
| 167d | thisguymen | ↓ $180 | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,256 | −$1,256 −100% | 4 |
| 168d |  CoinTrick | ↓ $185 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,611 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ $180 means the market gives it about 100%.