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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 2,400 | 100% | +81 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,300 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,200 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,600 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,800 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,700 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 3,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 3,100 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,900 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,800 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,100 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,900 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 1,700 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 2,500 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 2,500 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d | shuangming1219 | ↓ 2,300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,798 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | Cactus-001 | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,993 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | jakma | ↑ 2,700 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,293 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 54d | lingke | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | jjjclv62 fills | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,800 | +$28 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | jakma | ↑ 2,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,386 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 54d | duneprod1 | ↓ 2,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,035 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 2,400 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,879 | +$121 +0.6% | 2 |
| 54d | strengthinnumbers | ↓ 2,400 | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $2,002 | +$2,002 +100% | — |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 2,400 | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $1,895 | +$2,225 +117% | 5 |
| 54d |  olegs2 fills | ↑ 2,700 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,073 | +$65 +1.3% | 2 |
| 54d | getbipped2 fills | ↓ 2,400 | BuyNo76¢ → 0¢ | $6,130 | −$6,130 −100% | 2 |
| 54d | yaokan3 fills | ↑ 2,800 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,815 | +$29 +0.6% | 2 |
| 54d | zxcxcvb | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,154 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | dfdsfvcsdv | ↓ 2,200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,192 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d |  ray1122 | ↑ 2,800 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,179 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 55d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 2,600 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$38 +3.1% | 2 |
| 55d | olegs | ↓ 2,100 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,683 | +$17 +0.3% | 2 |
| 56d | chet010 | ↑ 2,700 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | −$8 −0.6% | — |
| 56d | chet010 | ↑ 2,800 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,637 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 56d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 1,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 56d | yaokan3 fills | ↓ 2,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,569 | +$31 +0.7% | 2 |
| 57d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 2,800 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,841 | −$49 −2.7% | — |
| 57d | chet010 | ↑ 3,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,578 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 57d | TCBY6688 | ↑ 2,800 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$42 +3.8% | 2 |
| 58d | chet010 | ↑ 3,100 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,624 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 58d | olegs | ↓ 1,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,653 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 59d | chet010 | ↑ 3,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,577 | +$59 +3.7% | 2 |
| 60d |  notlosecrypto | ↑ 2,600 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 2 |
| 61d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 2,500 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,898 | +$218 +7.5% | 2 |
| 61d | getbipped | ↓ 2,300 | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,139 | +$1,897 +89% | 3 |
What price will Ethereum hit August 24-30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 2,400 means the market gives it about 100%.