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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3,750 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,750 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $6,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4,000 | 0% | +5 pts | 0 pts | — · 9¢ | — | ended |
| $5,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,000 | 100% | +50 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $4,250 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4,750 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $2,500 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $4,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3,250 | 100% | +32 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| $1,500 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 630d | Monster24 | $3,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,005 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | TTUM | $6,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,990 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 630d | 0xfd | $2,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,468 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | goldingboy | $4,250 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,929 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 630d |  beigesun | $2,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | 0xb5fc…5ca45 fills | $2,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,648 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 630d | 0xd49c…815010 fills | $2,750 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $52,330 | +$2,151 +4.1% | 2 |
| 630d | 0xfd | $3,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,169 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 630d | 0xd49c…815029 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $116,356 | +$32,837 +28% | 2 |
| 630d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | $3,750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,266 | +$91 +0.8% | 2 |
| 631d |  heizenber9 | $5,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,863 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 631d |  agsgsggsfudhhwueh | $3,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,580 | +$33 +0.3% | 2 |
| 631d | heizenber9 | $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,863 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d |  Anjun | $2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,110 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | whateversay | $4,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,562 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 631d | JSK0302 fills | $3,750 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,849 | −$19 −0.7% | — |
| 631d | salck | $4,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,055 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 631d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | $4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,877 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | $4,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,386 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | 0x627A0123bE | $6,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 631d | Kowalai | $2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,358 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | RottyN | $2,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | 0xLaLando | $2,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | Monster24 | $3,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 631d | fresh777 | $4,250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d |  NewPower | $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,665 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d |  gege | $4,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,570 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 631d | gege | $4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,590 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $2,750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,732 | +$22 +0.6% | 2 |
| 631d | Questionable-Pineapple | $4,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,151 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | 0xd49c…81508 fills | $2,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $34,181 | +$312 +0.9% | 2 |
| 631d | AZwater2 fills | $2,750 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,647 | +$194 +2.9% | 2 |
| 631d | AZwater | $3,750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,616 | +$24 +0.9% | 2 |
| 631d | abeautifulmind | $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,602 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,983 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 631d | VvVv | $6,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,479 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 631d | QMG-CORE | $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,516 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | mrazish | $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | TexMexTRex3 fills | $3,750 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $16,710 | −$305 −1.8% | — |
| 632d | gh0ul | $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,780 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $4,250 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $4,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,426 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $6,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,184 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | $2,500 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,656 | +$85 +1.0% | 2 |
| 632d | gdghtrhrt | $4,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,285 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | DJwell | $4,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,280 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d |  natoshi-sakamoto | $2,500 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,010 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 632d | goldingboy | $4,750 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,618 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 632d | goldingboy | $5,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,544 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 632d | TTbilly | $2,750 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | −$8 −0.7% | — |
| 632d |  richan2 fills | $4,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,736 | −$43 −1.1% | — |
| 632d | richan | $4,250 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,873 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 632d | edenhouse | $4,750 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,171 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | elPolloLoco3 fills | $2,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $27,424 | −$61 −0.2% | — |
| 632d |  sorcerer.03 | $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,711 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | mybadsorry | $2,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,191 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 632d | warsan | $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,900 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | ExhaustedBoyBilly | $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | sir3829 | $5,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 632d | sdfsdfasdhgjsdf324 | $2,750 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,966 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
This is a market group over what prices Ethereum will hit in January 2025.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for $3,750 means the market gives it about 0%.