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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $390 | 100% | +41 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $465 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $435 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 0% | — | −8 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $480 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $630 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $413 | 100% | +34 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $510 | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $495 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $450 | 100% | +2 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $563 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $533 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $323 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $593 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 240d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $360 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,522 | +$17 +1.1% | 4 |
| 240d | turkxbt | ↓ $360 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,371 | +$29 +2.1% | 4 |
| 241d | turkxbt | ↑ $630 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 241d | ewr4t | ↑ $480 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,288 | +$12 +0.9% | 4 |
| 241d | bfdgdr54 | ↑ $480 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,285 | +$15 +1.2% | 4 |
| 241d | fgd4t | ↑ $480 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$18 +1.6% | 4 |
| 242d |  BettingQuant2 fills | ↓ $390 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $2,261 | +$1,008 +45% | 6 |
| 247d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | ↓ $360 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,447 | +$97 +6.7% | 4 |
| 262d |  Cloverince | ↓ $413 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | Cloverince | ↓ $435 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,760 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | pelik | ↓ $435 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,939 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | pelik | ↓ $450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,375 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | pelik | ↓ $465 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,705 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | JamieB0nd | ↓ $435 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,185 | +$12 +0.1% | 4 |
| 263d | MistahFox2 fills | ↓ $465 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,469 | +$11 +0.1% | 4 |
| 266d | lilesto | ↓ $465 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | +$17 +1.5% | 4 |
| 266d | lilesto | ↓ $435 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,550 | +$82 +5.3% | 4 |
PrimePenguin70 shares
AbdylPizdyn53 sharesWhat will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit in February 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ $390 means the market gives it about 100%.