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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $195 | 42% | +35 pts | +32 pts | 1¢ · 82¢ (81¢) | $2.45K | in 8d |
| ↓ $135 | 52% | −4 pts | −15 pts | 6¢ · 97¢ (91¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $140 | 53% | −3 pts | −24 pts | 8¢ · 97¢ (89¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $120 | 49% | +38 pts | +29 pts | 2¢ · 96¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $125 | 50% | +36 pts | +18 pts | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $170 | 42% | +30 pts | −16 pts | 2¢ · 81¢ (79¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $180 | 44% | +26 pts | +33 pts | <1¢ · 88¢ (88¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $130 | 13% | −5 pts | −29 pts | 5¢ · 20¢ (15¢) | $505 | in 8d |
| ↓ $115 | 10% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 19¢ (18¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $200 | 16% | +10 pts | +9 pts | <1¢ · 32¢ (32¢) | $150 | in 8d |
| ↑ $175 | 44% | +37 pts | +27 pts | 2¢ · 86¢ (84¢) | $10.3 | in 8d |
| ↑ $190 | 15% | — | −34 pts | 1¢ · 29¢ (28¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $185 | 50% | +33 pts | +41 pts | 1¢ · 99¢ (98¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $165 | 49% | +30 pts | — | 1¢ · 97¢ (96¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $150 | 55% | −28 pts | — | 10¢ · 99¢ (89¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $155 | 51% | −4 pts | — | 4¢ · 97¢ (93¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $160 | 50% | +17 pts | — | 3¢ · 97¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $145 | 54% | — | — | 10¢ · 98¢ (88¢) | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16h | Pellepele | ↑ $195 | BuyNo99¢ → 58¢ | $1,310 | −$537 −41% | 5 |
2B9S212 sharesWhat will SpaceX (SPCX) hit in October 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 42¢ for ↑ $195 means the market gives it about 42%.