| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,312 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $1,213 | +$23 +2.0% |
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | Yes | 1,305 | 72¢ → 81¢ | $1,057 | +$120 +13% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 822 | 80¢ → 94¢ | $768 | +$108 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 777 | 70¢ → 89¢ | $687 | +$143 +26% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 627 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $524 | −$9 −1.6% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 3d | No | 522 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $462 | +$49 +12% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | No | 446 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $412 | +$7 +1.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 365 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $353 | +$12 +3.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 332 | 62¢ → 89¢ | $296 | +$89 +43% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 296 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $290 | +$22 +8.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 320 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $264 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Ends ended | No | 247 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $247 | +$14 +6.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 304 | 82¢ → 81¢ | $244 | −$5 −1.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 5d | No | 334 | 70¢ → 71¢ | $235 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 48d | Yes | 308 | 85¢ → 75¢ | $230 | −$31 −12% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 237 | 78¢ → 93¢ | $219 | +$34 +18% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 241 | 76¢ → 88¢ | $211 | +$28 +15% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 272 | 77¢ → 77¢ | $208 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on October 22?Ends ended | No | 206 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $206 | +$6 +2.8% |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 220 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $202 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 207 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $196 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 195 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $193 | +$23 +13% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 203 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $192 | +$19 +11% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 69d | Yes | 222 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $189 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 192 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $183 | +$19 +11% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 207 | 56¢ → 84¢ | $174 | +$57 +49% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 192 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $170 | +$1 +0.5% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 12d | Yes | 238 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $163 | +$11 +7.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 196 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $161 | +$13 +8.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 1h | Yes | 163 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $160 | +$26 +19% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 295 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $156 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 522 | 40¢ → 30¢ | $154 | −$56 −27% |
| Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?Ends in 2d | No | 151 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $148 | +$6 +4.2% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 190 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $142 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 169 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $141 | +$14 +11% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 130d | No | 164 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $134 | +$7 +5.6% |
| Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 145 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $132 | +$5 +4.2% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 129 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $125 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Ends in 2d | Yes | 191 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $117 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 152 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $116 | −$13 −9.8% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 173 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $116 | +$2 +2.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 171 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $114 | +$8 +7.6% |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 126 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $111 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 121 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $110 | +$14 +15% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 116 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $109 | +$6 +5.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 116 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $107 | +$19 +21% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 3d | No | 109 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $104 | +$8 +8.8% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 13d | Yes | 105 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $102 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?Ends in 12d | Yes | 105 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $102 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | No | 138 | 83¢ → 71¢ | $98 | −$16 −14% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?Ends in 70d | No | 100 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 104 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $96 | +$7 +7.8% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 12d | Yes | 99 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $96 | +$7 +8.4% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 116 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $95 | +$4 +4.6% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 211 | 41¢ → 45¢ | $95 | +$9 +9.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 101 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $95 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 152 | 22¢ → 62¢ | $94 | +$61 +187% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 132 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $89 | +$7 +9.0% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 189 | 36¢ → 47¢ | $89 | +$21 +30% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 95 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $86 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 526d | Yes | 103 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $86 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 89 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $85 | +$8 +9.7% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 105 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $85 | +$3 +3.4% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 88 | 62¢ → 96¢ | $84 | +$30 +55% |
| Israel military action against Yemen by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 85 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $79 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?Ends in 1d | Yes | 88 | 52¢ → 89¢ | $78 | +$32 +70% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | No | 256 | 38¢ → 31¢ | $78 | −$20 −20% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 119 | 46¢ → 65¢ | $77 | +$22 +40% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 107 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $75 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 85 | 90¢ → 89¢ | $75 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 74 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $74 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends in 1d | Yes | 82 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $73 | +$4 +6.3% |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 72 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $71 | +$12 +20% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 47d | Yes | 98 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $70 | +$8 +13% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $860 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 72 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $69 | +$7 +11% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 89 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $68 | +$0 +0.4% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 150 million views on week 1?Ends in 1d | Yes | 79 | 94¢ → 86¢ | $68 | −$6 −8.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | Yes | 74 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $67 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 75 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $67 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will Matúš Vallo win the 2026 Bratislava mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 72 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $67 | +$3 +5.0% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 13d | No | 110 | 69¢ → 60¢ | $65 | −$11 −14% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 66 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $65 | +$8 +14% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 119 | 81¢ → 54¢ | $64 | −$32 −33% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 86 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $64 | −$5 −7.7% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 63 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $63 | +$0 +0.8% |
| Will Solana reach $140 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 63 | 86¢ → 98¢ | $62 | +$8 +14% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 88 | 85¢ → 69¢ | $61 | −$14 −19% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 61 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $61 | +$2 +2.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | Yes | 85 | 62¢ → 72¢ | $61 | +$8 +15% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 71 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $61 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 13d | Yes | 147 | 36¢ → 41¢ | $60 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $620 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 102 | 85¢ → 59¢ | $60 | −$27 −31% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 133 | 50¢ → 45¢ | $59 | −$8 −11% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 5d | Yes | 82 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $57 | −$2 −3.1% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 2d | Yes | 80 | 57¢ → 71¢ | $57 | +$11 +25% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 74 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $57 | +$3 +4.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 9d | No | 67 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $56 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 12d | Yes | 80 | 58¢ → 69¢ | $54 | +$8 +18% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 12d | No | 55 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $54 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 57 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $53 | +$2 +4.8% |
