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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $800 | 4% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 6¢ (5¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $710 | 4% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 7¢ (5¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $720 | 6% | +1 pts | −4 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $740 | 22% | −6 pts | −5 pts | 19¢ · 24¢ (5¢) | $1.79K | in 8d |
| ↓ $750 | 50% | −5 pts | −4 pts | 46¢ · 54¢ (8¢) | $636 | in 8d |
| ↑ $790 | 8% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 6¢ · 10¢ (4¢) | $624 | in 8d |
| ↑ $830 | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↓ $730 | 8% | −5 pts | −9 pts | 6¢ · 9¢ (3¢) | $517 | in 8d |
| ↑ $840 | 3% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 6¢ (6¢) | — | in 8d |
| ↑ $820 | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | $180 | in 8d |
| ↑ $770 | 59% | +2 pts | — | 54¢ · 64¢ (10¢) | $83.6 | in 8d |
| ↑ $810 | 4% | 0 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | $62.2 | in 8d |
| ↓ $700 | 4% | +3 pts | +1 pts | 1¢ · 7¢ (6¢) | $60 | in 8d |
| ↑ $780 | 19% | −5 pts | −17 pts | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | $35 | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23h |  CoinTrick | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,289 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 4d | Liquidifier | ↑ $790 | BuyNo85¢ → 92¢ | $1,030 | +$90 +8.7% | 14 |
| 4d |  FFIE. | ↓ $750 | SellNo60¢ → 50¢ | $1,194 | +$201 +17% | — |
| 7d | FFIE.2 fills | ↓ $740 | BuyNo81¢ → 79¢ | $2,248 | −$75 −3.3% | 17 |
| 11d | FFIE. | ↓ $750 | BuyNo78¢ → 50¢ | $1,441 | −$512 −36% | 19 |
| 12d | KL5252 | ↑ $810 | BuyNo90¢ → 97¢ | $1,035 | +$75 +7.2% | 11 |
| 17d | CoinTrick | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October? | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,302 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
PippiTrader110 shares
Albedo0092 shares
AlAhmeda420 shares
0xOTd60 sharesWhat will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for ↑ $800 means the market gives it about 4%.