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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $263 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $533 | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $390 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $570 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $353 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $405 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $503 | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $300 | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $330 | 0% | +1 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $450 | 0% | +6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $420 | 0% | −19 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $473 | 0% | +1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $435 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $375 | 100% | −2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207d | ↓ $353 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,449 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 212d | zyz9 | ↑ $533 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 217d | ↓ $375 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,468 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 222d | Low-Theism | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,966 | +$65 +1.3% | 4 |
| 222d | Better-Staircase | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,003 | +$66 +1.3% | 4 |
| 223d | Glass-Egghead | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,953 | +$60 +1.2% | 4 |
| 223d | Outlandish-Walrus | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,026 | +$61 +1.2% | 4 |
| 223d | Giddy-Stay | ↑ $533 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,953 | +$70 +1.4% | 4 |
| 223d | Original-Weekender | ↑ $533 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,006 | +$71 +1.4% | 4 |
| 223d | Sardonic-Destiny | ↑ $533 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,007 | +$76 +1.5% | 4 |
| 223d | Outstanding-Fish | ↑ $533 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,942 | +$75 +1.5% | 4 |
| 223d | Busy-Fault | ↑ $570 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,968 | −$71 −1.4% | — |
| 223d | Busy-Fault | ↑ $570 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,968 | +$71 +1.4% | 4 |
| 223d | Expensive-Output | ↑ $570 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,990 | +$71 +1.4% | 4 |
| 228d | ↓ $263 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,981 | +$52 +2.6% | 4 | |
| 230d | Urban-Farmer | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$22 +1.4% | 4 |
| 230d | Kindhearted-Sow | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,548 | +$22 +1.4% | 4 |
| 230d | Ashamed-Rider | ↓ $263 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,553 | +$22 +1.4% | 4 |
| 235d | pelik2 fills | ↓ $390 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,326 | +$19 +0.2% | 4 |
| 235d | ↓ $405 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,400 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 236d | ↓ $405 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,555 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 236d | ↓ $405 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,013 | +$10 +0.5% | 4 | |
| 236d | ↓ $390 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,884 | +$246 +8.5% | 4 |
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in March 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ $263 means the market gives it about 0%.