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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $465 | 0% | −6 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $450 | 0% | −26 pts | −24 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $480 | 0% | −2 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $375 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $450 | 100% | +42 pts | +76 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $420 | 100% | +23 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $405 | 100% | +19 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $360 | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $390 | 0% | −2 pts | −22 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $330 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $345 | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $300 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $435 | 100% | +7 pts | +65 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $315 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $285 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $390 | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $510 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $495 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $405 | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 147d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $450 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,183 | +$6 +0.2% | 4 |
| 147d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↓ $360 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,113 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 147d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | ↑ $465 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,252 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 163d |  Eric0182 fills | ↑ $480 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $2,651 | +$1,604 +61% | 4 |
| 163d | Eric018 | ↑ $465 | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$1,980 +194% | 4 |
| 163d |  CoinTrick | ↑ $450 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,089 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 165d | CamelUp | ↑ $450 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$331 +25% | 4 |
| 165d | QQQDAN | ↑ $435 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,678 | +$17 +1.0% | 4 |
| 168d | CoinTrick | ↑ $420 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 169d | CoinTrick | ↑ $405 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 171d | CamelUp | ↑ $420 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $2,580 | −$2,580 −100% | 5 |
| 171d | CamelUp | ↑ $420 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,420 | +$2,580 +75% | 4 |
| 172d |  BettingQuant | ↓ $375 | BuyYes70¢ → 0¢ | $2,075 | −$2,075 −100% | 4 |
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit in May 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $465 means the market gives it about 0%.