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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ $4,700 | 0% | −1 pts | −86 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,600 | 100% | +48 pts | +83 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,900 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,500 | 100% | +64 pts | +36 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,400 | 100% | +15 pts | +91 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,800 | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,400 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,400 | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,300 | 100% | +36 pts | +51 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,700 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $3,600 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,500 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,200 | 100% | +45 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,500 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,600 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,600 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,800 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,100 | 100% | +17 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,300 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,100 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $4,900 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ $5,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,200 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ $4,400 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | C03B | ↑ $4,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,854 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 53d | Suirenzirou | ↑ $4,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 54d | 033033033 | ↓ $4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,845 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 54d |  CoinTrick2 fills | ↓ $4,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,449 | +$21 +0.3% | 4 |
| 55d | chooseb | ↓ $4,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,015 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 55d | 0330330332 fills | ↓ $3,900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $17,995 | +$19 +0.1% | 4 |
| 57d | C03B2 fills | ↓ $3,900 | SellNo>99¢ | $13,491 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 57d | C03B | ↓ $4,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,009 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 57d |  EgoVolae | ↑ $4,700 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$713 +45% | 6 |
| 57d | CoinTrick | ↓ $4,600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,642 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 58d | 033033033 | ↓ $3,800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,513 | +$13 +0.1% | 4 |
| 58d | 033033033 | ↓ $3,700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,143 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 58d |  SpicyBrwny2 fills | ↓ $4,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,198 | +$26 +0.8% | 4 |
| 58d |  SOLinvestigator | ↓ $4,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,574 | +$14 +0.9% | 4 |
| 59d | Suirenzirou | ↓ $3,900 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,738 | +$30 +0.8% | 4 |
| 60d | 033033033 | ↓ $3,600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,134 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 60d | EgoVolae2 fills | ↑ $4,700 | SellYes57¢ → 0¢ | $4,531 | +$4,531 +100% | — |
| 61d |  Alicia | ↑ $4,700 | SellYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,465 | +$1,465 +100% | — |
| 61d | Trained-Notion | ↓ $3,400 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,621 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 62d | 033033033 | ↓ $3,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,941 | +$30 +0.1% | 4 |
| 62d | 033033033 | ↓ $3,400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,687 | +$29 +0.1% | 4 |
| 64d | trx1 | ↓ $3,500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,763 | +$8 +0.2% | 4 |
| 64d | trx1 | ↓ $3,400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,608 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 |
| 64d | lIllIlllIlIl | ↑ $4,600 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,260 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 64d | CoinTrick | ↑ $4,600 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,763 | +$237 +2.4% | 4 |
| 64d | Avamax | ↑ $4,600 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,650 | +$313 +6.7% | 4 |
| 64d | Alicia | ↑ $4,600 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $2,678 | +$334 +12% | 4 |
| 64d | C03B | ↑ $4,600 | SellYes81¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | −$335 −24% | — |
| 64d | C03B2 fills | ↑ $4,600 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $3,828 | +$2,886 +75% | 4 |
| 64d |  loser-star | ↓ $3,400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,109 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 65d | cryptoincome | ↓ $4,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,527 | +$27 +1.1% | 4 |
| 65d | CoinTrick | ↑ $4,500 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,615 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 66d | ivanliew85 | ↑ $4,700 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | −$81 −8.1% | — |
| 67d | Avamax2 fills | ↑ $4,700 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $13,076 | +$1,115 +8.5% | 4 |
| 69d | Trained-Notion | ↓ $3,400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,236 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 74d | CoinTrick | ↑ $4,400 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,652 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 75d | Alicia | ↑ $4,600 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 4 |
| 76d | Single-Challenge | ↑ $4,400 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$206 +19% | 4 |
| 77d | Trained-Notion | ↑ $4,700 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,587 | +$216 +14% | 4 |
| 77d | RealMaxNick | ↓ $4,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,016 | +$101 +9.9% | 4 |
| 79d | RealMaxNick | ↑ $4,600 | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | −$1,031 −100% | 4 |
| 79d | cryptoincome | ↓ $3,700 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$30 +2.1% | 4 |
| 84d | oliverbigfly | ↑ $4,400 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $1,749 | −$1,749 −100% | 4 |
labistiiia1,000 sharesWhat will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in August 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ $4,700 means the market gives it about 0%.