| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 10,044 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $9,190 | +$48 +0.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 23h | Yes | 4,951 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $4,510 | −$95 −2.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 3d | Yes | 5,300 | 91¢ → 85¢ | $4,478 | −$337 −7.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 4,000 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $3,580 | −$108 −2.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends ended | Yes | 3,450 | 94¢ → 99¢ | $3,431 | +$182 +5.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 161d | Yes | 3,504 | 70¢ → 56¢ | $1,980 | −$482 −20% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,899 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $1,329 | +$47 +3.7% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,737 | 80¢ → 70¢ | $1,218 | −$177 −13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Ends in 375d | Yes | 1,839 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $1,213 | +$25 +2.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 1,500 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $1,140 | +$15 +1.3% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 1,200 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $1,002 | −$6 −0.6% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 1,699 | 65¢ → 59¢ | $994 | −$105 −9.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 222d | No | 1,954 | 54¢ → 48¢ | $928 | −$122 −12% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1,100 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $886 | +$6 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 102d | No | 1,165 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $856 | +$38 +4.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 4,972 | 59¢ → 17¢ | $845 | −$2,085 −71% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 1,301 | 61¢ → 62¢ | $800 | +$11 +1.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 795 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $735 | +$12 +1.6% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | No | 700 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $602 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Ends in 23h | No | 605 | 37¢ → 87¢ | $526 | +$303 +136% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | Yes | 700 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $500 | +$30 +6.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Ends in 405d | Yes | 711 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $480 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 409 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $373 | +$52 +16% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 486 | 80¢ → 76¢ | $368 | −$21 −5.3% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?Ends ended | No | 315 | 55¢ → >99¢ | $314 | +$140 +80% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 305 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $287 | +$68 +31% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 281 | 89¢ → 90¢ | $251 | +$2 +0.7% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 456 | 45¢ → 46¢ | $208 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 200 | 78¢ → 84¢ | $167 | +$12 +7.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,000 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $155 | −$92 −37% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 166 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $155 | $0 0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | No | 313 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $139 | −$14 −9.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 161d | No | 177 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $111 | −$6 −5.3% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 10d | No | 120 | 10¢ → 84¢ | $101 | +$89 +769% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Ends in 71d | No | 101 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $94 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 25d | Yes | 159 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $88 | −$12 −12% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 72d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$3 +3.6% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 4,074 | 55¢ → 2¢ | $77 | −$2,155 −97% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 80 | 59¢ → 79¢ | $63 | +$16 +33% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 84 | 42¢ → 70¢ | $59 | +$24 +68% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Ends in 344d | Yes | 90 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $57 | +$0 +0.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 40d | No | 72 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $56 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?Ends in 283d | Yes | 94 | 57¢ → 58¢ | $55 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 75 | 50¢ → 71¢ | $53 | +$15 +41% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 42 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $41 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Ends in 40d | No | 100 | 15¢ → 38¢ | $38 | +$23 +155% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 40 | 61¢ → 88¢ | $35 | +$11 +43% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 34 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 40 | 44¢ → 72¢ | $29 | +$11 +63% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 10d | Yes | 600 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $23 | −$29 −56% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 93¢ | $19 | +$3 +22% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 60 | 50¢ → 30¢ | $18 | −$12 −40% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$7 +65% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 30¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$11 +185% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$2 +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 40d | Yes | 300 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$18 −53% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$2 +13% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$1 −5.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 74¢ | $15 | −$1 −8.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 34¢ → 55¢ | $11 | +$4 +62% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mike Rogers by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $9 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 9 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $8 | −$0 −2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 130 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $7 | −$2 −26% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 20 | 23¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$1 +28% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 130d | Yes | 14 | 24¢ → 32¢ | $5 | +$1 +33% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dana White by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,931 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10,191 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 620 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$186 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 160 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,094 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 260 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 770 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$256 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 90 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$489 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 180 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,108 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$218 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 341 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,400 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$938 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,622 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,853 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ticket" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 951 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Thomas Massie by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 280 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 390 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise JD Vance by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
