| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 13,044 | 89¢ → 79¢ | $10,305 | −$1,314 −11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 3h | Yes | 5,951 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $5,846 | +$289 +5.2% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 2d | Yes | 6,300 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $5,764 | +$69 +1.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 4,000 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $3,700 | +$12 +0.3% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | Yes | 3,504 | 70¢ → 55¢ | $1,927 | −$534 −22% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 1,899 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $1,358 | +$75 +5.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027?Ends in 374d | Yes | 1,839 | 65¢ → 66¢ | $1,213 | +$25 +2.1% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 1,500 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $1,148 | +$23 +2.0% |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 1,699 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $1,037 | −$63 −5.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 1,200 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $1,002 | −$6 −0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 221d | No | 1,954 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $967 | −$83 −7.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,100 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $897 | +$17 +1.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 101d | No | 1,165 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $856 | +$38 +4.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,301 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $826 | +$37 +4.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,737 | 80¢ → 47¢ | $818 | −$577 −41% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 795 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $735 | +$12 +1.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?Ends in 3h | No | 605 | 37¢ → 99¢ | $597 | +$374 +168% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 435d | Yes | 700 | 67¢ → 72¢ | $500 | +$30 +6.5% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?Ends in 404d | Yes | 711 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $480 | +$4 +0.9% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 409 | 78¢ → 94¢ | $385 | +$64 +20% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Ends in 70d | Yes | 486 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $360 | −$29 −7.5% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 4,972 | 59¢ → 7¢ | $323 | −$2,607 −89% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hillary Clinton by September 30, 2026?Ends ended | No | 305 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $287 | +$68 +31% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 456 | 45¢ → 63¢ | $285 | +$78 +38% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 281 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $246 | −$4 −1.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | No | 700 | 86¢ → 28¢ | $200 | −$403 −67% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $170 | +$15 +9.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 70d | Yes | 1,000 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $155 | −$92 −37% |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 166 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $155 | $0 0.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | No | 313 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $139 | −$14 −9.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 160d | No | 177 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $111 | −$6 −5.3% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by October 31?Ends in 9d | No | 120 | 10¢ → 84¢ | $101 | +$89 +769% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 24d | Yes | 159 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $94 | −$6 −6.3% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?Ends in 70d | No | 101 | 90¢ → 93¢ | $94 | +$3 +2.8% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Ends in 71d | No | 100 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$3 +3.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Gianni Infantino by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 59¢ → 86¢ | $69 | +$21 +45% |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 4,074 | 55¢ → 2¢ | $67 | −$2,165 −97% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?Ends in 343d | Yes | 90 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $57 | $0 0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 39d | No | 72 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $56 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 75 | 50¢ → 75¢ | $56 | +$18 +49% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?Ends in 282d | Yes | 94 | 57¢ → 57¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 84 | 42¢ → 57¢ | $48 | +$13 +37% |
| Will STRC hit $100 by November 30?Ends in 39d | No | 100 | 15¢ → 40¢ | $40 | +$25 +170% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 42 | 97¢ → 91¢ | $39 | −$3 −6.2% |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 34 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $33 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Javier Milei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 40 | 61¢ → 80¢ | $32 | +$7 +30% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 40 | 44¢ → 78¢ | $31 | +$14 +77% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 9d | Yes | 600 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $20 | −$32 −62% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $19 | +$2 +9.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $18 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Friedrich Merz by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$3 +18% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$3 +20% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$2 +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 39d | Yes | 300 | 12¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$18 −53% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Hakeem Jeffries by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 60 | 50¢ → 28¢ | $16 | −$13 −45% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Mark Rutte by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 53¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$6 +53% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 62¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$3 +26% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 30¢ → 60¢ | $12 | +$6 +100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 130 | 7¢ → 9¢ | $11 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 79¢ → 54¢ | $11 | −$5 −32% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 34¢ → 47¢ | $9 | +$3 +38% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mike Rogers by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $9 | +$0 +3.9% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 9 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.4% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 23¢ → 36¢ | $7 | +$3 +57% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 129d | Yes | 14 | 24¢ → 33¢ | $5 | +$1 +38% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Nicki Minaj by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$15 −93% |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dana White by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11,931 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10,191 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 620 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$186 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Andy Burnham by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 120 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$64 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 550 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$107 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 160 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$42 −100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,094 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 260 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$73 −100% |
| Will Trump say "NVIDIA" in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 770 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$256 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Data Center" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 90 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Trump renames AI by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 600 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$489 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ilhan Omar by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Bridge" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 180 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Gavin Newsom by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,108 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$218 −100% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 341 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,400 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$938 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,622 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,853 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Ticket" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 951 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$382 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 390 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Thomas Massie by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Moon" or "Space" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 280 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Television" or "TV" this week?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 390 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise JD Vance by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Elon Musk by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly praise Claudia Sheinbaum by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
