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Polymarket · CultureClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Die 5+ times | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| El Capitan 2+ times | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| No Rope | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oscar / Oscars / Academy Award | 100% | +40 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Crimp | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Death Wish | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Honnold Foundation | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 1667 feet | 0% | −91 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 508 meters | 0% | −68 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wife | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Rock | 100% | +11 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Drone | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Free Solo 5+ times | 100% | +15 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tallest Building | 100% | +17 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Geographic | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Weather / Rain / Wind 3+ times | 100% | +8 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | GamblerOfWords | Oscar / Oscars / Academy Award | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 272d |  Debosnys | Die 5+ times | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$5 +0.5% | 4 |
| 272d | Threadbare-Signal | Die 5+ times | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$4 +0.4% | 4 |
| 272d | Debosnys | El Capitan 2+ times | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,493 | +$499 +11% | 4 |
CharliefromSmilingFriends100 shares
bjprolo50 sharesAlex Honnold's climb of Taipei 101 is scheduled to air on Netflix on January 23, 2026, 8PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/how-to-watch-alex-honnold-skyscraper-climb-live-netflix This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled stream of Skyscraper Live on Netflix. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Any qualifying mention must be audibly, intelligibly and fully stated. Any term which cannot be heard in its entirety will not qualify. Only the official Netflix broadcast of the event will count towards the resolution of this market. If no such stream is aired by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and audio of the event.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Die 5+ times means the market gives it about 100%.