| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 120,287 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $18,645 | −$8,264 −31% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 583,373 | 8¢ → 2¢ | $11,959 | −$33,486 −74% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 73,687 | 33¢ → 9¢ | $6,263 | −$18,352 −75% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 30,073 | 40¢ → 20¢ | $6,015 | −$5,951 −50% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 70d | No | 39,762 | 32¢ → 14¢ | $5,765 | −$7,066 −55% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 436d | Yes | 54,280 | 17¢ → 10¢ | $5,157 | −$4,215 −45% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 57,747 | 18¢ → 5¢ | $2,599 | −$7,537 −74% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 99,385 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $1,938 | −$3,360 −63% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 44,404 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $1,554 | −$3,892 −71% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | Yes | 19,982 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $1,299 | −$1,183 −48% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 12,640 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $1,201 | −$1,533 −56% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 222d | Yes | 2,316 | 47¢ → 52¢ | $1,193 | +$111 +10% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 8,515 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $809 | −$770 −49% |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 9,612 | 23¢ → 8¢ | $769 | −$1,397 −64% |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 11,742 | 14¢ → 5¢ | $528 | −$1,083 −67% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 252d | Yes | 927 | 49¢ → 56¢ | $515 | +$58 +13% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 63,791 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $383 | +$29 +8.3% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 213,060 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $320 | −$811 −72% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 4,695 | 13¢ → 7¢ | $305 | −$308 −50% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 189,413 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $284 | −$1,370 −83% |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 12,497 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $262 | +$182 +227% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 6,904 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $245 | −$460 −65% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 6,666 | 9¢ → 4¢ | $237 | −$341 −59% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,851 | 32¢ → 13¢ | $231 | −$359 −61% |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 4,677 | 12¢ → 4¢ | $189 | −$356 −65% |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboEnds in 71d | Yes | 4,684 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $183 | −$633 −78% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 4,767 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $179 | −$45 −20% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 115,993 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $174 | −$487 −74% |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 6,303 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $158 | −$315 −67% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 43,988 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $154 | −$217 −58% |
| Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 1,456 | <1¢ → 8¢ | $119 | +$114 +2617% |
| Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,932 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $115 | −$28 −19% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,035 | 23¢ → 11¢ | $114 | −$125 −52% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 3,071 | 26¢ → 4¢ | $112 | −$701 −86% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 19,998 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $110 | −$37 −25% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 750 | 25¢ → 14¢ | $105 | −$83 −44% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 771 | 26¢ → 13¢ | $100 | −$100 −50% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,660 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $91 | −$49 −35% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 59,907 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $90 | −$370 −80% |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 70d | Yes | 32,727 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $82 | −$72 −47% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 157,769 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $79 | −$494 −86% |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 808 | 19¢ → 10¢ | $77 | −$80 −51% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 29,999 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $75 | −$133 −64% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 136,663 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $68 | −$869 −93% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 6d | Yes | 45,375 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $68 | −$81 −54% |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,109 | 11¢ → 6¢ | $67 | −$53 −44% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 17,777 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $62 | −$80 −56% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 115,547 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $58 | −$786 −93% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 3,146 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $52 | −$172 −77% |
| Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 6d | Yes | 48,807 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $49 | −$51 −51% |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 32,387 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $49 | −$146 −75% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 96,053 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $48 | −$515 −91% |
| Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 12,784 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $45 | −$70 −61% |
| Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 9,171 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $41 | +$12 +41% |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,819 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $41 | −$151 −79% |
| Will Facundo Manes win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 24,217 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $36 | −$12 −25% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 70,853 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $35 | −$598 −94% |
| Will Esteban Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 23,166 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $35 | −$11 −25% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 69,301 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $35 | −$469 −93% |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 966 | 8¢ → 4¢ | $34 | −$46 −58% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,000 | 30¢ → 3¢ | $34 | −$266 −89% |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 8,949 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $31 | −$31 −50% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 20,228 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $30 | −$141 −82% |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 3,742 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $30 | −$2 −5.8% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 29,634 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $30 | −$173 −85% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?Ends in 10d | Yes | 2,222 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $29 | −$95 −77% |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 17,509 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $26 | −$111 −81% |
| Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 6d | Yes | 24,482 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $24 | −$20 −45% |
| Will Juan Schiaretti win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 15,434 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $23 | −$10 −29% |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 44,165 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $22 | −$292 −93% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 14,443 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $22 | −$116 −84% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 5,631 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $20 | −$20 −50% |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 5,555 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $19 | −$31 −61% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 12,201 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $18 | −$90 −83% |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 248 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $17 | −$13 −43% |
| Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 1,189 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $17 | +$15 +625% |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?Ends in 161d | Yes | 444 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $17 | −$6 −25% |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 29,997 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $15 | −$165 −92% |
| Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 4,045 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $14 | +$6 +64% |
| Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 468 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $13 | −$15 −53% |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 24,304 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$159 −93% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?Ends in 70d | Yes | 731 | 16¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$105 −90% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 7,777 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$35 −75% |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 7,777 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$43 −79% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 5,870 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $9 | −$35 −80% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?Ends in 283d | Yes | 13 | 50¢ → 57¢ | $7 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 14,720 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | −$94 −93% |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 210 | 4¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$2 −23% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 555 | 28¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$148 −96% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 748d | Yes | 12,222 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$73 −92% |
| Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?Ends in 748d | Yes | 20 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 368d | Yes | 3,918 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$8 −58% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 11,111 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$72 −93% |
| Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 246 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$12 −69% |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 3,196 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $5 | −$18 −79% |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?Ends in 71d | Yes | 123 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$3 −38% |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 8,922 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$67 −94% |
| Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$26 −87% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 748d | Yes | 1,555 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $4 | −$6 −62% |
| New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 83 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$2 −50% |
