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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Border 3 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| AI/Artificial Intelligence | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Fentanyl | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| China/Chinese 3 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ukraine/Ukranian 3 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Navalny | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Putin | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Hunter | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Moon | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Bitcoin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Ceasefire | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Folks 4 or more times | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 960d | Folks 4 or more times | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | +$77 +3.5% | 2 | |
| 960d | Folks 4 or more times | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,152 | +$48 +4.2% | 2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Trump means the market gives it about 0%.