Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America / American 20+ times | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stock Market | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pro-Family / Pro-Life 7+ times | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Afford / Affordable 5+ times | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ultrasound / Cell | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Usha | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Far-Left | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Housing / Home | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Heinous | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Innocent Life | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Young Mom | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Christian | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Abortion Clinic | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Working class | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Dobbs | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Healthcare | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273d | America / American 20+ times | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 273d | Dobbs | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,240 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 273d | Heinous | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,613 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
J.D. Vance is set to deliver remarks in Washington on on January 23, 2026 (see: https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says the listed term during the event on January 23, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about the remarks for March for Life (https://www.dioceseofscranton.org/vance-to-address-march-for-life-rally-in-person-trump-to-speak-via-video/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for America / American 20+ times means the market gives it about 0%.